Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30 at 100%, driven by end-of-day FlightAware tallies logging around 5,200 delays—below the late-March average of 5,600 amid recovery from mid-month storms—corroborated by FAA daily air traffic reports citing only minor wind impacts and no major ground stops like the March 28 Washington-area odor incident. Bureau of Transportation Statistics preliminary on-time performance data aligns closely, reflecting typical volumes for roughly 45,000 scheduled domestic flights where delays are defined as 15+ minutes late. This commanding position stems from transparent real-time tracking and absence of disruptions. Rare challenges could arise from late-reported flights or BTS methodological adjustments pushing totals above 5,500.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日5,000-5,500 100.0%
<5,000 <1%
5,500-6,000 <1%
6,000-6,500 <1%
$13,177 Vol.
$13,177 Vol.
2026/03/30
<5,000
No
5,000-5,500
Yes
5,500-6,000
No
6,000-6,500
No
6,500-7,000
No
7,000-7,500
No
7,500-8,000
No
>8,000
No
5,000-5,500 100.0%
<5,000 <1%
5,500-6,000 <1%
6,000-6,500 <1%
$13,177 Vol.
$13,177 Vol.
2026/03/30
<5,000
$1,966 Vol.
No
5,000-5,500
$3,996 Vol.
Yes
5,500-6,000
$1,152 Vol.
No
6,000-6,500
$1,540 Vol.
No
6,500-7,000
$2,113 Vol.
No
7,000-7,500
$1,312 Vol.
No
7,500-8,000
$359 Vol.
No
>8,000
$740 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30 at 100%, driven by end-of-day FlightAware tallies logging around 5,200 delays—below the late-March average of 5,600 amid recovery from mid-month storms—corroborated by FAA daily air traffic reports citing only minor wind impacts and no major ground stops like the March 28 Washington-area odor incident. Bureau of Transportation Statistics preliminary on-time performance data aligns closely, reflecting typical volumes for roughly 45,000 scheduled domestic flights where delays are defined as 15+ minutes late. This commanding position stems from transparent real-time tracking and absence of disruptions. Rare challenges could arise from late-reported flights or BTS methodological adjustments pushing totals above 5,500.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
音量
$13,177終了日
2026/03/30マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30 at 100%, driven by end-of-day FlightAware tallies logging around 5,200 delays—below the late-March average of 5,600 amid recovery from mid-month storms—corroborated by FAA daily air traffic reports citing only minor wind impacts and no major ground stops like the March 28 Washington-area odor incident. Bureau of Transportation Statistics preliminary on-time performance data aligns closely, reflecting typical volumes for roughly 45,000 scheduled domestic flights where delays are defined as 15+ minutes late. This commanding position stems from transparent real-time tracking and absence of disruptions. Rare challenges could arise from late-reported flights or BTS methodological adjustments pushing totals above 5,500.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$13,177終了日
2026/03/30マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 5,000-5,500 US flight delays on March 30 at 100%, driven by end-of-day FlightAware tallies logging around 5,200 delays—below the late-March average of 5,600 amid recovery from mid-month storms—corroborated by FAA daily air traffic reports citing only minor wind impacts and no major ground stops like the March 28 Washington-area odor incident. Bureau of Transportation Statistics preliminary on-time performance data aligns closely, reflecting typical volumes for roughly 45,000 scheduled domestic flights where delays are defined as 15+ minutes late. This commanding position stems from transparent real-time tracking and absence of disruptions. Rare challenges could arise from late-reported flights or BTS methodological adjustments pushing totals above 5,500.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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