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選挙·プライマリ

ニューヨーク州知事共和党予備選

Market icon
選挙·プライマリ

ニューヨーク州知事共和党予備選

ブルース・ブレイクマン 94%

パット・ハーン 2.8%

エリース・ステファニク 2.2%

デイビッド・タリー 1.4%

Polymarket

$38,521 Vol.

ブルース・ブレイクマン 94%

パット・ハーン 2.8%

エリース・ステファニク 2.2%

デイビッド・タリー 1.4%

Polymarket

$38,521 Vol.

ブルース・ブレイクマン

$10,313 Vol.

94%

パット・ハーン

$0 Vol.

3%

エリース・ステファニク

$0 Vol.

2%

デイビッド・タリー

$26,384 Vol.

1%

ベッツィ・マッコーイ

$1,826 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**New York Republican Party's formal designation of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman as gubernatorial nominee at its February 2026 convention has solidified his commanding position in the June 23 Republican primary, following President Trump's December endorsement and U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik's withdrawal after her initial polling lead.** Additional backing from figures like George Pataki and state GOP chair Edward F. Cox, coupled with Blakeman's double-digit re-election as county executive last November, has deterred serious challengers, leaving union leader Pat Hahn, cannabis shop owner David Tulley, and Betsy McCaughey with minimal support. Recent Siena College polling showing Blakeman narrowing Gov. Kathy Hochul's general election lead to 13 points further bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability. Upsets could arise from scandals, a late high-profile entrant, or Libertarian Larry Sharpe gaining petition traction and anti-establishment momentum.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$38,521
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**New York Republican Party's formal designation of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman as gubernatorial nominee at its February 2026 convention has solidified his commanding position in the June 23 Republican primary, following President Trump's December endorsement and U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik's withdrawal after her initial polling lead.** Additional backing from figures like George Pataki and state GOP chair Edward F. Cox, coupled with Blakeman's double-digit re-election as county executive last November, has deterred serious challengers, leaving union leader Pat Hahn, cannabis shop owner David Tulley, and Betsy McCaughey with minimal support. Recent Siena College polling showing Blakeman narrowing Gov. Kathy Hochul's general election lead to 13 points further bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability. Upsets could arise from scandals, a late high-profile entrant, or Libertarian Larry Sharpe gaining petition traction and anti-establishment momentum.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$38,521
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ニューヨーク州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ブルース・ブレイクマン」で94%、次いで「パット・ハーン」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニューヨーク州知事共和党予備選」は$38.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニューヨーク州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューヨーク州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ブルース・ブレイクマン」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「パット・ハーン」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューヨーク州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。