NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$678,655 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
<1%
4月30日
77%
$678,655 Vol.
3月31日
$185,891 Vol.
<1%
4月30日
$114,064 Vol.
77%
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$678,655終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
音量
$678,655終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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