Market icon
テクノロジー·ビッグテック

NASAアルテミスII

Market icon
テクノロジー·ビッグテック

NASAアルテミスII

$678,660 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$678,660 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$185,896 Vol.

<1%

4月30日

$114,064 Vol.

77%

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「NASAアルテミスII」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4月30日」で78%、次いで「3月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NASAアルテミスII」は$678.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NASAアルテミスII」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NASAアルテミスII」の現在のフロントランナーは「4月30日」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NASAアルテミスII」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。