Maryland’s 7th congressional district, which covers much of Baltimore and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that has produced consistent party control in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume faces primary challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway ahead of the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary, yet the seat’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns keep the Democratic nominee heavily favored for the November general election. Republican nominee Scott Collier remains the only declared major-party opponent, with limited fundraising and name recognition in the district. These structural factors align with the current trader consensus reflected in the elevated Democratic outcome price and the low Republican price. No late-breaking developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,544 Vol.
$15,544 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
3%
民主党
61%
$15,544 Vol.
$15,544 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,372 Vol.
3%
民主党
$9,171 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, which covers much of Baltimore and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that has produced consistent party control in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume faces primary challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway ahead of the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary, yet the seat’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns keep the Democratic nominee heavily favored for the November general election. Republican nominee Scott Collier remains the only declared major-party opponent, with limited fundraising and name recognition in the district. These structural factors align with the current trader consensus reflected in the elevated Democratic outcome price and the low Republican price. No late-breaking developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, which covers much of Baltimore and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that has produced consistent party control in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume faces primary challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway ahead of the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary, yet the seat’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns keep the Democratic nominee heavily favored for the November general election. Republican nominee Scott Collier remains the only declared major-party opponent, with limited fundraising and name recognition in the district. These structural factors align with the current trader consensus reflected in the elevated Democratic outcome price and the low Republican price. No late-breaking developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district, which covers much of Baltimore and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that has produced consistent party control in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume faces primary challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway ahead of the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary, yet the seat’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns keep the Democratic nominee heavily favored for the November general election. Republican nominee Scott Collier remains the only declared major-party opponent, with limited fundraising and name recognition in the district. These structural factors align with the current trader consensus reflected in the elevated Democratic outcome price and the low Republican price. No late-breaking developments have altered the race’s fundamentals in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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