Maryland's 7th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+31—the 14th most Democratic nationwide—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting consistent blowout margins like incumbent Rep. Kweisi Mfume's 80% win in 2024. Mfume faces a crowded June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway and others seeking generational change, but historical primary dominance (88% in 2024) favors his renomination. Republican Scott Collier, who garnered just 17% last cycle, poses minimal threat in this Baltimore-heavy battleground. Absent late-breaking scandals, nominee implosion, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, the structural advantages sustain this commanding position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$0 Vol.
94%
共和党
$2,202 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 7th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+31—the 14th most Democratic nationwide—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting consistent blowout margins like incumbent Rep. Kweisi Mfume's 80% win in 2024. Mfume faces a crowded June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway and others seeking generational change, but historical primary dominance (88% in 2024) favors his renomination. Republican Scott Collier, who garnered just 17% last cycle, poses minimal threat in this Baltimore-heavy battleground. Absent late-breaking scandals, nominee implosion, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, the structural advantages sustain this commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$2,202終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 7th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+31—the 14th most Democratic nationwide—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting consistent blowout margins like incumbent Rep. Kweisi Mfume's 80% win in 2024. Mfume faces a crowded June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway and others seeking generational change, but historical primary dominance (88% in 2024) favors his renomination. Republican Scott Collier, who garnered just 17% last cycle, poses minimal threat in this Baltimore-heavy battleground. Absent late-breaking scandals, nominee implosion, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, the structural advantages sustain this commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,202終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 7th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+31—the 14th most Democratic nationwide—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting consistent blowout margins like incumbent Rep. Kweisi Mfume's 80% win in 2024. Mfume faces a crowded June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway and others seeking generational change, but historical primary dominance (88% in 2024) favors his renomination. Republican Scott Collier, who garnered just 17% last cycle, poses minimal threat in this Baltimore-heavy battleground. Absent late-breaking scandals, nominee implosion, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, the structural advantages sustain this commanding position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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