Incumbent Democrat Janet Mills, term-limited after two terms, is vacating the Maine governorship for a U.S. Senate bid, leaving an open seat for the November 3 plurality general election following June 9 primaries under ranked-choice voting. Democratic primary polls show Nirav Shah leading at 25-31% in late March surveys from Impact Research and University of New Hampshire, buoyed by party fundraising strength and legislative supermajority. Republicans remain fragmented post their March 24 debate featuring eight candidates, with Bobby Charles atop early polls at 28%. Trader consensus implies 89.5% odds for a Democratic winner, driven by Maine's Democratic tilt in recent cycles (Mills' 2022 win by 13 points) and forecaster ratings as Likely Democratic, though GOP consolidation or scandals could alter trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
90%
共和党
10%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,372 Vol.
90%
共和党
$2,991 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Janet Mills, term-limited after two terms, is vacating the Maine governorship for a U.S. Senate bid, leaving an open seat for the November 3 plurality general election following June 9 primaries under ranked-choice voting. Democratic primary polls show Nirav Shah leading at 25-31% in late March surveys from Impact Research and University of New Hampshire, buoyed by party fundraising strength and legislative supermajority. Republicans remain fragmented post their March 24 debate featuring eight candidates, with Bobby Charles atop early polls at 28%. Trader consensus implies 89.5% odds for a Democratic winner, driven by Maine's Democratic tilt in recent cycles (Mills' 2022 win by 13 points) and forecaster ratings as Likely Democratic, though GOP consolidation or scandals could alter trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$6,363終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Janet Mills, term-limited after two terms, is vacating the Maine governorship for a U.S. Senate bid, leaving an open seat for the November 3 plurality general election following June 9 primaries under ranked-choice voting. Democratic primary polls show Nirav Shah leading at 25-31% in late March surveys from Impact Research and University of New Hampshire, buoyed by party fundraising strength and legislative supermajority. Republicans remain fragmented post their March 24 debate featuring eight candidates, with Bobby Charles atop early polls at 28%. Trader consensus implies 89.5% odds for a Democratic winner, driven by Maine's Democratic tilt in recent cycles (Mills' 2022 win by 13 points) and forecaster ratings as Likely Democratic, though GOP consolidation or scandals could alter trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$6,363終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janet Mills, term-limited after two terms, is vacating the Maine governorship for a U.S. Senate bid, leaving an open seat for the November 3 plurality general election following June 9 primaries under ranked-choice voting. Democratic primary polls show Nirav Shah leading at 25-31% in late March surveys from Impact Research and University of New Hampshire, buoyed by party fundraising strength and legislative supermajority. Republicans remain fragmented post their March 24 debate featuring eight candidates, with Bobby Charles atop early polls at 28%. Trader consensus implies 89.5% odds for a Democratic winner, driven by Maine's Democratic tilt in recent cycles (Mills' 2022 win by 13 points) and forecaster ratings as Likely Democratic, though GOP consolidation or scandals could alter trajectories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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