The Massachusetts 1st congressional district’s D+8 partisan voter index and long-standing Democratic dominance anchor trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal faces a September 1 Democratic primary but holds significant institutional advantages, while Republican primary contenders operate in a district where the party has not won since 1994. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential cycles and limited GOP infrastructure. Scenarios that could shift odds remain narrow, primarily involving an unforeseen scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican nominee drawing unusually high turnout in a low-engagement midterm environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,958 Vol.
$12,958 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$12,958 Vol.
$12,958 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,946 Vol.
94%
共和党
$5,012 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 1st congressional district’s D+8 partisan voter index and long-standing Democratic dominance anchor trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal faces a September 1 Democratic primary but holds significant institutional advantages, while Republican primary contenders operate in a district where the party has not won since 1994. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential cycles and limited GOP infrastructure. Scenarios that could shift odds remain narrow, primarily involving an unforeseen scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican nominee drawing unusually high turnout in a low-engagement midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$12,958終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 1st congressional district’s D+8 partisan voter index and long-standing Democratic dominance anchor trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal faces a September 1 Democratic primary but holds significant institutional advantages, while Republican primary contenders operate in a district where the party has not won since 1994. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential cycles and limited GOP infrastructure. Scenarios that could shift odds remain narrow, primarily involving an unforeseen scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican nominee drawing unusually high turnout in a low-engagement midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,958終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 1st congressional district’s D+8 partisan voter index and long-standing Democratic dominance anchor trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal faces a September 1 Democratic primary but holds significant institutional advantages, while Republican primary contenders operate in a district where the party has not won since 1994. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential cycles and limited GOP infrastructure. Scenarios that could shift odds remain narrow, primarily involving an unforeseen scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican nominee drawing unusually high turnout in a low-engagement midterm environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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