Trader consensus favors Democrat Jeanne Shaheen at 78% implied probability to win New Hampshire's Senate seat, driven by her consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against Republican Scott Brown, including an Emerson survey from October 28-29 showing her at 52% to Brown's 42%. As the incumbent, Shaheen benefits from strong fundraising, high name recognition, and favorability among independents in this battleground state. The October 24 debate produced no momentum shift for Brown, while early voting turnout remains steady without signs of a Republican surge. National Democratic strength in New England polls reinforces her edge, though election day dynamics and undecided voters could still influence the outcome ahead of November 5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$15,591 Vol.
$15,591 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
77%
共和党
19%
$15,591 Vol.
$15,591 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$10,500 Vol.
77%
共和党
$5,092 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrat Jeanne Shaheen at 78% implied probability to win New Hampshire's Senate seat, driven by her consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against Republican Scott Brown, including an Emerson survey from October 28-29 showing her at 52% to Brown's 42%. As the incumbent, Shaheen benefits from strong fundraising, high name recognition, and favorability among independents in this battleground state. The October 24 debate produced no momentum shift for Brown, while early voting turnout remains steady without signs of a Republican surge. National Democratic strength in New England polls reinforces her edge, though election day dynamics and undecided voters could still influence the outcome ahead of November 5.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$15,591終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrat Jeanne Shaheen at 78% implied probability to win New Hampshire's Senate seat, driven by her consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against Republican Scott Brown, including an Emerson survey from October 28-29 showing her at 52% to Brown's 42%. As the incumbent, Shaheen benefits from strong fundraising, high name recognition, and favorability among independents in this battleground state. The October 24 debate produced no momentum shift for Brown, while early voting turnout remains steady without signs of a Republican surge. National Democratic strength in New England polls reinforces her edge, though election day dynamics and undecided voters could still influence the outcome ahead of November 5.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$15,591終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrat Jeanne Shaheen at 78% implied probability to win New Hampshire's Senate seat, driven by her consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against Republican Scott Brown, including an Emerson survey from October 28-29 showing her at 52% to Brown's 42%. As the incumbent, Shaheen benefits from strong fundraising, high name recognition, and favorability among independents in this battleground state. The October 24 debate produced no momentum shift for Brown, while early voting turnout remains steady without signs of a Republican surge. National Democratic strength in New England polls reinforces her edge, though election day dynamics and undecided voters could still influence the outcome ahead of November 5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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