Incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen holds a commanding lead over Republican challenger Michael Warburton in the New Hampshire Senate race, with recent polls like Emerson College's October 24-25 survey showing her ahead 53%-39% and polling averages around +13 points. Shaheen's fundraising dominance—over $20 million raised versus Warburton's under $2 million—has enabled heavy ad spending reinforcing her advantage in this battleground state. Trader consensus at 79.5% for the Democrat reflects incumbency benefits, stable polling trends amid early voting, and the GOP nominee's limited name recognition and organization. The November 5 election remains the resolution date, with potential for shifts from turnout in independent-heavy New Hampshire.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$15,605 Vol.
$15,605 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
80%
共和党
19%
$15,605 Vol.
$15,605 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$10,509 Vol.
80%
共和党
$5,096 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen holds a commanding lead over Republican challenger Michael Warburton in the New Hampshire Senate race, with recent polls like Emerson College's October 24-25 survey showing her ahead 53%-39% and polling averages around +13 points. Shaheen's fundraising dominance—over $20 million raised versus Warburton's under $2 million—has enabled heavy ad spending reinforcing her advantage in this battleground state. Trader consensus at 79.5% for the Democrat reflects incumbency benefits, stable polling trends amid early voting, and the GOP nominee's limited name recognition and organization. The November 5 election remains the resolution date, with potential for shifts from turnout in independent-heavy New Hampshire.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$15,605終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen holds a commanding lead over Republican challenger Michael Warburton in the New Hampshire Senate race, with recent polls like Emerson College's October 24-25 survey showing her ahead 53%-39% and polling averages around +13 points. Shaheen's fundraising dominance—over $20 million raised versus Warburton's under $2 million—has enabled heavy ad spending reinforcing her advantage in this battleground state. Trader consensus at 79.5% for the Democrat reflects incumbency benefits, stable polling trends amid early voting, and the GOP nominee's limited name recognition and organization. The November 5 election remains the resolution date, with potential for shifts from turnout in independent-heavy New Hampshire.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$15,605終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen holds a commanding lead over Republican challenger Michael Warburton in the New Hampshire Senate race, with recent polls like Emerson College's October 24-25 survey showing her ahead 53%-39% and polling averages around +13 points. Shaheen's fundraising dominance—over $20 million raised versus Warburton's under $2 million—has enabled heavy ad spending reinforcing her advantage in this battleground state. Trader consensus at 79.5% for the Democrat reflects incumbency benefits, stable polling trends amid early voting, and the GOP nominee's limited name recognition and organization. The November 5 election remains the resolution date, with potential for shifts from turnout in independent-heavy New Hampshire.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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