Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney’s established position in Connecticut’s 2nd district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index and receives solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent performance in recent cycles. Courtney, first elected in 2006, secured his party’s nomination at the May 2026 district convention without a contested primary after a challenger fell short of the required threshold. Multiple Republican candidates are advancing through their primary, yet the district’s eastern Connecticut composition and historical margins limit their general-election prospects. Scheduled primaries in August and the November general election remain the key upcoming dates, with any shift in national conditions or late candidate developments representing the main variables that could alter the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$1,557 Vol.
92%
共和党
$2,782 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney’s established position in Connecticut’s 2nd district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index and receives solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent performance in recent cycles. Courtney, first elected in 2006, secured his party’s nomination at the May 2026 district convention without a contested primary after a challenger fell short of the required threshold. Multiple Republican candidates are advancing through their primary, yet the district’s eastern Connecticut composition and historical margins limit their general-election prospects. Scheduled primaries in August and the November general election remain the key upcoming dates, with any shift in national conditions or late candidate developments representing the main variables that could alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$4,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney’s established position in Connecticut’s 2nd district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index and receives solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent performance in recent cycles. Courtney, first elected in 2006, secured his party’s nomination at the May 2026 district convention without a contested primary after a challenger fell short of the required threshold. Multiple Republican candidates are advancing through their primary, yet the district’s eastern Connecticut composition and historical margins limit their general-election prospects. Scheduled primaries in August and the November general election remain the key upcoming dates, with any shift in national conditions or late candidate developments representing the main variables that could alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney’s established position in Connecticut’s 2nd district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index and receives solid or safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent performance in recent cycles. Courtney, first elected in 2006, secured his party’s nomination at the May 2026 district convention without a contested primary after a challenger fell short of the required threshold. Multiple Republican candidates are advancing through their primary, yet the district’s eastern Connecticut composition and historical margins limit their general-election prospects. Scheduled primaries in August and the November general election remain the key upcoming dates, with any shift in national conditions or late candidate developments representing the main variables that could alter the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問