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政治·裁判所

マドゥロ刑務所の時間？

Market icon
政治·裁判所

マドゥロ刑務所の時間？

刑務所に入らない 34%

60年以上 28%

40～60 16%

20年未満 14.7%

Polymarket

$444,549 Vol.

刑務所に入らない 34%

60年以上 28%

40～60 16%

20年未満 14.7%

Polymarket

$444,549 Vol.

刑務所に入らない

$349,021 Vol.

34%

20年未満

$27,726 Vol.

15%

20～40

$26,694 Vol.

11%

40～60

$12,539 Vol.

16%

60年以上

$28,569 Vol.

28%

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra". This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket. If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro's recent Manhattan federal court appearance on March 26 underscored the ongoing narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking case brought by US prosecutors, as Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied a motion to dismiss charges while scrutinizing sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for his defense. This procedural win for the Department of Justice advances the indictment—originally unsealed in 2020—toward trial amid disputes over head-of-state immunity and right to counsel, keeping trader consensus tightly contested with no prison time slightly leading at 33.5% over a 60+ year sentence at 28.5%. Potential separation hinges on plea negotiations, evidentiary hearings, or diplomatic interventions, against a backdrop of Maduro's detention in a Brooklyn jail following his January extradition.

Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro's recent Manhattan federal court appearance on March 26 underscored the ongoing narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking case brought by US prosecutors, as Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied a motion to dismiss charges while scrutinizing sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for his defense. This procedural win for the Department of Justice advances the indictment—originally unsealed in 2020—toward trial amid disputes over head-of-state immunity and right to counsel, keeping trader consensus tightly contested with no prison time slightly leading at 33.5% over a 60+ year sentence at 28.5%. Potential separation hinges on plea negotiations, evidentiary hearings, or diplomatic interventions, against a backdrop of Maduro's detention in a Brooklyn jail following his January extradition.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra". This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket. If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro's recent Manhattan federal court appearance on March 26 underscored the ongoing narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking case brought by US prosecutors, as Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied a motion to dismiss charges while scrutinizing sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for his defense. This procedural win for the Department of Justice advances the indictment—originally unsealed in 2020—toward trial amid disputes over head-of-state immunity and right to counsel, keeping trader consensus tightly contested with no prison time slightly leading at 33.5% over a 60+ year sentence at 28.5%. Potential separation hinges on plea negotiations, evidentiary hearings, or diplomatic interventions, against a backdrop of Maduro's detention in a Brooklyn jail following his January extradition.

Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro's recent Manhattan federal court appearance on March 26 underscored the ongoing narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking case brought by US prosecutors, as Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied a motion to dismiss charges while scrutinizing sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for his defense. This procedural win for the Department of Justice advances the indictment—originally unsealed in 2020—toward trial amid disputes over head-of-state immunity and right to counsel, keeping trader consensus tightly contested with no prison time slightly leading at 33.5% over a 60+ year sentence at 28.5%. Potential separation hinges on plea negotiations, evidentiary hearings, or diplomatic interventions, against a backdrop of Maduro's detention in a Brooklyn jail following his January extradition.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「マドゥロ刑務所の時間？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「刑務所に入らない」で34%、次いで「60年以上」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「マドゥロ刑務所の時間？」は$444.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「マドゥロ刑務所の時間？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「マドゥロ刑務所の時間？」の現在のフロントランナーは「刑務所に入らない」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「60年以上」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「マドゥロ刑務所の時間？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。