Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor from 2006 to 2011, has gained traction as a potential nominee to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, whose term expires in May 2026, amid Donald Trump's post-election transition planning. Recent reports indicate Warsh held discussions with Trump advisors, positioning him as a frontrunner due to his market-oriented views and past criticism of Fed policy during the financial crisis. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over Trump's timeline for nomination—potentially accelerated if Powell resigns early—and Senate confirmation prospects, where Republicans hold a 53-47 majority following the 2024 elections. Key upcoming events include Trump's cabinet announcements in coming weeks and potential Senate Banking Committee hearings post-inauguration on January 20, 2025, though historical precedents show Fed Chair confirmations averaging several months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$405,991 Vol.
May 15, 2026
5月1日
11%
5月15日
52%
$405,991 Vol.
5月1日
$276,282 Vol.
11%
5月15日
$129,709 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor from 2006 to 2011, has gained traction as a potential nominee to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, whose term expires in May 2026, amid Donald Trump's post-election transition planning. Recent reports indicate Warsh held discussions with Trump advisors, positioning him as a frontrunner due to his market-oriented views and past criticism of Fed policy during the financial crisis. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over Trump's timeline for nomination—potentially accelerated if Powell resigns early—and Senate confirmation prospects, where Republicans hold a 53-47 majority following the 2024 elections. Key upcoming events include Trump's cabinet announcements in coming weeks and potential Senate Banking Committee hearings post-inauguration on January 20, 2025, though historical precedents show Fed Chair confirmations averaging several months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
音量
$405,991終了日
May 15, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor from 2006 to 2011, has gained traction as a potential nominee to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, whose term expires in May 2026, amid Donald Trump's post-election transition planning. Recent reports indicate Warsh held discussions with Trump advisors, positioning him as a frontrunner due to his market-oriented views and past criticism of Fed policy during the financial crisis. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over Trump's timeline for nomination—potentially accelerated if Powell resigns early—and Senate confirmation prospects, where Republicans hold a 53-47 majority following the 2024 elections. Key upcoming events include Trump's cabinet announcements in coming weeks and potential Senate Banking Committee hearings post-inauguration on January 20, 2025, though historical precedents show Fed Chair confirmations averaging several months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$405,991終了日
May 15, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor from 2006 to 2011, has gained traction as a potential nominee to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, whose term expires in May 2026, amid Donald Trump's post-election transition planning. Recent reports indicate Warsh held discussions with Trump advisors, positioning him as a frontrunner due to his market-oriented views and past criticism of Fed policy during the financial crisis. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over Trump's timeline for nomination—potentially accelerated if Powell resigns early—and Senate confirmation prospects, where Republicans hold a 53-47 majority following the 2024 elections. Key upcoming events include Trump's cabinet announcements in coming weeks and potential Senate Banking Committee hearings post-inauguration on January 20, 2025, though historical precedents show Fed Chair confirmations averaging several months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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