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Kevin Warsh氏がFed議長に就任したのは... ?

Market icon

Kevin Warsh氏がFed議長に就任したのは... ?

$409,036 Vol.

May 15, 2026
Polymarket

$409,036 Vol.

Polymarket

5月1日

$277,586 Vol.

11%

5月15日

$131,450 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, submitted to the Senate on March 4, 2026, to succeed Jerome Powell after his term ends May 15, faces significant hurdles.** Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) has stalled advancement, insisting on resolution of a DOJ criminal investigation into Powell, leaving the process at an impasse as reported March 27. No Senate Banking Committee hearings are scheduled, with the tight timeline pressuring potential floor vote amid broader economic pressures like the Iran conflict. Warsh's hawkish stance on inflation and balance sheet reduction draws mixed reactions, but confirmation requires committee approval and simple majority Senate vote, heightening uncertainty for traders assessing procedural risks and institutional dynamics.

**President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, submitted to the Senate on March 4, 2026, to succeed Jerome Powell after his term ends May 15, faces significant hurdles.** Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) has stalled advancement, insisting on resolution of a DOJ criminal investigation into Powell, leaving the process at an impasse as reported March 27. No Senate Banking Committee hearings are scheduled, with the tight timeline pressuring potential floor vote amid broader economic pressures like the Iran conflict. Warsh's hawkish stance on inflation and balance sheet reduction draws mixed reactions, but confirmation requires committee approval and simple majority Senate vote, heightening uncertainty for traders assessing procedural risks and institutional dynamics.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, submitted to the Senate on March 4, 2026, to succeed Jerome Powell after his term ends May 15, faces significant hurdles.** Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) has stalled advancement, insisting on resolution of a DOJ criminal investigation into Powell, leaving the process at an impasse as reported March 27. No Senate Banking Committee hearings are scheduled, with the tight timeline pressuring potential floor vote amid broader economic pressures like the Iran conflict. Warsh's hawkish stance on inflation and balance sheet reduction draws mixed reactions, but confirmation requires committee approval and simple majority Senate vote, heightening uncertainty for traders assessing procedural risks and institutional dynamics.

**President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, submitted to the Senate on March 4, 2026, to succeed Jerome Powell after his term ends May 15, faces significant hurdles.** Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) has stalled advancement, insisting on resolution of a DOJ criminal investigation into Powell, leaving the process at an impasse as reported March 27. No Senate Banking Committee hearings are scheduled, with the tight timeline pressuring potential floor vote amid broader economic pressures like the Iran conflict. Warsh's hawkish stance on inflation and balance sheet reduction draws mixed reactions, but confirmation requires committee approval and simple majority Senate vote, heightening uncertainty for traders assessing procedural risks and institutional dynamics.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Kevin Warsh氏がFed議長に就任したのは... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5月15日」で50%、次いで「5月1日」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Kevin Warsh氏がFed議長に就任したのは... ?」は$409Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「Kevin Warsh氏がFed議長に就任したのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「5月15日」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5月1日」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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