The heavily Democratic lean of Illinois's 1st congressional district underpins trader consensus around the Democratic nominee, with the seat's urban and suburban voter base delivering consistent majorities in recent cycles. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson, who secured the seat in 2022 and won reelection with more than 65 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only token opposition after Republican primary voters selected entrepreneur Christian Maxwell over Marcus Lewis in March. No significant polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national political developments have altered the race since the primaries concluded, leaving the outcome dependent on standard turnout patterns in a district long considered safe for Democrats. A major personal or ethical issue affecting Jackson or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though such developments remain outside current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,238 Vol.
$40,238 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
5%
$40,238 Vol.
$40,238 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,649 Vol.
93%
共和党
$22,588 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Illinois's 1st congressional district underpins trader consensus around the Democratic nominee, with the seat's urban and suburban voter base delivering consistent majorities in recent cycles. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson, who secured the seat in 2022 and won reelection with more than 65 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only token opposition after Republican primary voters selected entrepreneur Christian Maxwell over Marcus Lewis in March. No significant polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national political developments have altered the race since the primaries concluded, leaving the outcome dependent on standard turnout patterns in a district long considered safe for Democrats. A major personal or ethical issue affecting Jackson or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though such developments remain outside current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$40,238終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Illinois's 1st congressional district underpins trader consensus around the Democratic nominee, with the seat's urban and suburban voter base delivering consistent majorities in recent cycles. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson, who secured the seat in 2022 and won reelection with more than 65 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only token opposition after Republican primary voters selected entrepreneur Christian Maxwell over Marcus Lewis in March. No significant polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national political developments have altered the race since the primaries concluded, leaving the outcome dependent on standard turnout patterns in a district long considered safe for Democrats. A major personal or ethical issue affecting Jackson or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though such developments remain outside current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,238終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of Illinois's 1st congressional district underpins trader consensus around the Democratic nominee, with the seat's urban and suburban voter base delivering consistent majorities in recent cycles. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson, who secured the seat in 2022 and won reelection with more than 65 percent of the vote in 2024, faces only token opposition after Republican primary voters selected entrepreneur Christian Maxwell over Marcus Lewis in March. No significant polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national political developments have altered the race since the primaries concluded, leaving the outcome dependent on standard turnout patterns in a district long considered safe for Democrats. A major personal or ethical issue affecting Jackson or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though such developments remain outside current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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