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トランプ氏とネタニヤフ氏はいつまで握手するのか?

Market icon

トランプ氏とネタニヤフ氏はいつまで握手するのか?

写真のみ 100.0%

握手なし <1%

2秒未満 <1%

2~6秒 <1%

Polymarket

$456,723 Vol.

写真のみ 100.0%

握手なし <1%

2秒未満 <1%

2~6秒 <1%

Polymarket

$456,723 Vol.

握手なし

$115,479 Vol.

いいえ

2秒未満

$32,695 Vol.

いいえ

2~6秒

$48,996 Vol.

いいえ

6〜10秒

$46,885 Vol.

いいえ

10~15秒

$30,646 Vol.

いいえ

15秒以上

$31,373 Vol.

いいえ

写真のみ

$150,649 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by February 13, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.

If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.

If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".

Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.

If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.

The resolution source will be video footage.
音量
$456,723
終了日
Feb 13, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 9, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by February 13, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"トランプ氏とネタニヤフ氏はいつまで握手するのか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "写真のみ" at 100%, followed by "握手なし" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "トランプ氏とネタニヤフ氏はいつまで握手するのか?" has generated $456.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "トランプ氏とネタニヤフ氏はいつまで握手するのか?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "トランプ氏とネタニヤフ氏はいつまで握手するのか?" is "写真のみ" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "握手なし" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "トランプ氏とネタニヤフ氏はいつまで握手するのか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.