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選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

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選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

James Kingston 45%

Brian Montgomery 38%

Krista Penn 13%

Kandiss Taylor 11%

Polymarket
NEW

James Kingston 45%

Brian Montgomery 38%

Krista Penn 13%

Kandiss Taylor 11%

Polymarket
NEW

James Kingston

$0 Vol.

45%

Brian Montgomery

$0 Vol.

38%

Krista Penn

$145 Vol.

8%

Kandiss Taylor

$3,876 Vol.

11%

Patrick Farrell

$0 Vol.

10%

Eugene Yu

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston holds trader consensus at 45% implied probability to win the open GA-01 Republican primary after Rep. Buddy Carter's U.S. Senate bid created the vacancy, driven by his early fundraising dominance surpassing $1 million and a recent $53,000 ad spend supporting him by Georgia First Action PAC. Retired Lt. Col. Brian Montgomery trails at 35%, gaining traction through West Point credentials, combat veteran status, and visibility at recent forums like Long County's Chamber of Commerce event, with another Effingham County forum set for March 30. Among 15 qualified candidates, the rest lag due to lower name recognition; key endorsements and coastal Georgia turnout will shape the May 19 outcome in this competitive race.

James Kingston holds trader consensus at 45% implied probability to win the open GA-01 Republican primary after Rep. Buddy Carter's U.S. Senate bid created the vacancy, driven by his early fundraising dominance surpassing $1 million and a recent $53,000 ad spend supporting him by Georgia First Action PAC. Retired Lt. Col. Brian Montgomery trails at 35%, gaining traction through West Point credentials, combat veteran status, and visibility at recent forums like Long County's Chamber of Commerce event, with another Effingham County forum set for March 30. Among 15 qualified candidates, the rest lag due to lower name recognition; key endorsements and coastal Georgia turnout will shape the May 19 outcome in this competitive race.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston holds trader consensus at 45% implied probability to win the open GA-01 Republican primary after Rep. Buddy Carter's U.S. Senate bid created the vacancy, driven by his early fundraising dominance surpassing $1 million and a recent $53,000 ad spend supporting him by Georgia First Action PAC. Retired Lt. Col. Brian Montgomery trails at 35%, gaining traction through West Point credentials, combat veteran status, and visibility at recent forums like Long County's Chamber of Commerce event, with another Effingham County forum set for March 30. Among 15 qualified candidates, the rest lag due to lower name recognition; key endorsements and coastal Georgia turnout will shape the May 19 outcome in this competitive race.

James Kingston holds trader consensus at 45% implied probability to win the open GA-01 Republican primary after Rep. Buddy Carter's U.S. Senate bid created the vacancy, driven by his early fundraising dominance surpassing $1 million and a recent $53,000 ad spend supporting him by Georgia First Action PAC. Retired Lt. Col. Brian Montgomery trails at 35%, gaining traction through West Point credentials, combat veteran status, and visibility at recent forums like Long County's Chamber of Commerce event, with another Effingham County forum set for March 30. Among 15 qualified candidates, the rest lag due to lower name recognition; key endorsements and coastal Georgia turnout will shape the May 19 outcome in this competitive race.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「GA-01 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「James Kingston」で45%、次いで「Brian Montgomery」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「GA-01 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 20, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「GA-01 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「GA-01 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「James Kingston」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Brian Montgomery」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「GA-01 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。