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政治·プライマリ

NE -02共和党予備選

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

NE -02共和党予備選

ブリンカー・ハーディング 94%

ダン・フライ 4.5%

ブレット・リンドストロム 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

ブリンカー・ハーディング 94%

ダン・フライ 4.5%

ブレット・リンドストロム 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

ブリンカー・ハーディング

$0 Vol.

94%

ダン・フライ

$7,703 Vol.

4%

ブレット・リンドストロム

$1,074 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding's commanding 94% trader consensus as NE-02 Republican primary winner stems from his status as the sole officially filed candidate after Nebraska's March 1 filing deadline passed without challengers, confirmed by the Secretary of State's list. Former state Sen. Brett Lindstrom's January 30 withdrawal cleared the field, bolstering Harding's position amid his fundraising lead and key endorsements from outgoing Rep. Don Bacon, Gov. Jim Pillen, Rep. Adrian Smith, and Sen. Deb Fischer. With the May 12 primary approaching, traders view him as the presumptive nominee in this open seat race, though slim odds persist for write-in efforts by figures like Dan Frei or unforeseen disqualifications via scandal or legal challenges.

Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding's commanding 94% trader consensus as NE-02 Republican primary winner stems from his status as the sole officially filed candidate after Nebraska's March 1 filing deadline passed without challengers, confirmed by the Secretary of State's list. Former state Sen. Brett Lindstrom's January 30 withdrawal cleared the field, bolstering Harding's position amid his fundraising lead and key endorsements from outgoing Rep. Don Bacon, Gov. Jim Pillen, Rep. Adrian Smith, and Sen. Deb Fischer. With the May 12 primary approaching, traders view him as the presumptive nominee in this open seat race, though slim odds persist for write-in efforts by figures like Dan Frei or unforeseen disqualifications via scandal or legal challenges.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding's commanding 94% trader consensus as NE-02 Republican primary winner stems from his status as the sole officially filed candidate after Nebraska's March 1 filing deadline passed without challengers, confirmed by the Secretary of State's list. Former state Sen. Brett Lindstrom's January 30 withdrawal cleared the field, bolstering Harding's position amid his fundraising lead and key endorsements from outgoing Rep. Don Bacon, Gov. Jim Pillen, Rep. Adrian Smith, and Sen. Deb Fischer. With the May 12 primary approaching, traders view him as the presumptive nominee in this open seat race, though slim odds persist for write-in efforts by figures like Dan Frei or unforeseen disqualifications via scandal or legal challenges.

Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding's commanding 94% trader consensus as NE-02 Republican primary winner stems from his status as the sole officially filed candidate after Nebraska's March 1 filing deadline passed without challengers, confirmed by the Secretary of State's list. Former state Sen. Brett Lindstrom's January 30 withdrawal cleared the field, bolstering Harding's position amid his fundraising lead and key endorsements from outgoing Rep. Don Bacon, Gov. Jim Pillen, Rep. Adrian Smith, and Sen. Deb Fischer. With the May 12 primary approaching, traders view him as the presumptive nominee in this open seat race, though slim odds persist for write-in efforts by figures like Dan Frei or unforeseen disqualifications via scandal or legal challenges.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「NE -02共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ブリンカー・ハーディング」で94%、次いで「ダン・フライ」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「NE -02共和党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Nov 26, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「NE -02共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NE -02共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ブリンカー・ハーディング」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ダン・フライ」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NE -02共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。