Recent Emerson College polling conducted March 29-31 shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the Republican gubernatorial primary at 46% and ahead in general election matchups against Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 74.5% for Florida's open 2026 governor race. Incumbent Gov. Ron DeSantis is term-limited, yet the GOP benefits from Florida's rightward shift, President Trump's endorsement of Donalds, and historical dominance with six consecutive victories. Earlier UNF polling confirmed single-digit GOP edges, with August primaries looming as key tests amid a fragmented field on both sides.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$10,903 Vol.
$10,903 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
24%
$10,903 Vol.
$10,903 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,238 Vol.
75%
民主党
$6,664 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Emerson College polling conducted March 29-31 shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the Republican gubernatorial primary at 46% and ahead in general election matchups against Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 74.5% for Florida's open 2026 governor race. Incumbent Gov. Ron DeSantis is term-limited, yet the GOP benefits from Florida's rightward shift, President Trump's endorsement of Donalds, and historical dominance with six consecutive victories. Earlier UNF polling confirmed single-digit GOP edges, with August primaries looming as key tests amid a fragmented field on both sides.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$10,903終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Emerson College polling conducted March 29-31 shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the Republican gubernatorial primary at 46% and ahead in general election matchups against Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 74.5% for Florida's open 2026 governor race. Incumbent Gov. Ron DeSantis is term-limited, yet the GOP benefits from Florida's rightward shift, President Trump's endorsement of Donalds, and historical dominance with six consecutive victories. Earlier UNF polling confirmed single-digit GOP edges, with August primaries looming as key tests amid a fragmented field on both sides.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$10,903終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Emerson College polling conducted March 29-31 shows Rep. Byron Donalds leading the Republican gubernatorial primary at 46% and ahead in general election matchups against Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 74.5% for Florida's open 2026 governor race. Incumbent Gov. Ron DeSantis is term-limited, yet the GOP benefits from Florida's rightward shift, President Trump's endorsement of Donalds, and historical dominance with six consecutive victories. Earlier UNF polling confirmed single-digit GOP edges, with August primaries looming as key tests amid a fragmented field on both sides.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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