Retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, driven by his massive $8.2 million fundraising haul disclosed April 1 and early field consolidation, including Jennifer Jenkins' January dropout and endorsement. As the high-profile Trump impeachment whistleblower entering the special election race triggered by Marco Rubio's resignation and Ashley Moody's appointment, Vindman benefits from VoteVets PAC backing and Florida Democrats' midterm optimism amid recent special legislative flips. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz trails at 4%, with others like former Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-Rep. Alan Grayson at under 1%, reflecting limited momentum absent major polling or new entrants before the August primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日アレクサンダー・ヴィンドマン 88.9%
ジャレッド・モスコウィッツ 4.5%
ジョシュ・ワイル 1.1%
ジェニファー・ジェンキンス <1%
$103,258 Vol.
$103,258 Vol.
アレクサンダー・ヴィンドマン
89%
ジャレッド・モスコウィッツ
5%
ジョシュ・ワイル
1%
ジェニファー・ジェンキンス
1%
アンジー・ニクソン
<1%
チャーリー・クリスト
<1%
アラン・グレイソン
<1%
ジョーイ・アトキンス
<1%
アレクサンダー・ヴィンドマン 88.9%
ジャレッド・モスコウィッツ 4.5%
ジョシュ・ワイル 1.1%
ジェニファー・ジェンキンス <1%
$103,258 Vol.
$103,258 Vol.
アレクサンダー・ヴィンドマン
89%
ジャレッド・モスコウィッツ
5%
ジョシュ・ワイル
1%
ジェニファー・ジェンキンス
1%
アンジー・ニクソン
<1%
チャーリー・クリスト
<1%
アラン・グレイソン
<1%
ジョーイ・アトキンス
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, driven by his massive $8.2 million fundraising haul disclosed April 1 and early field consolidation, including Jennifer Jenkins' January dropout and endorsement. As the high-profile Trump impeachment whistleblower entering the special election race triggered by Marco Rubio's resignation and Ashley Moody's appointment, Vindman benefits from VoteVets PAC backing and Florida Democrats' midterm optimism amid recent special legislative flips. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz trails at 4%, with others like former Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-Rep. Alan Grayson at under 1%, reflecting limited momentum absent major polling or new entrants before the August primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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