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Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

Market icon

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

No Change

<1% chance
Polymarket

$367,591 Vol.

No Change

<1% chance
Polymarket

$367,591 Vol.

This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period.

This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period.

The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025.

This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
音量
$367,591
終了日
Nov 24, 2025
マーケット開始日
Nov 21, 2025, 1:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

提案された結果: 25bps cut

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: 25bps cut

This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period.

This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period.

The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025.

This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
音量
$367,591
終了日
Nov 24, 2025
マーケット開始日
Nov 21, 2025, 1:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

提案された結果: 25bps cut

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: 25bps cut

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?" has generated $367.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?" is "Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.