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Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

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Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

No Change

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$367,591 Vol.

No Change

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$367,591 Vol.

This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period.

This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period.

The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025.

This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
音量
$367,591
終了日
2025/11/24
マーケット開始日
Nov 21, 2025, 1:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

提案された結果: 25bps cut

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: 25bps cut

This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period.

This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period.

The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025.

This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
音量
$367,591
終了日
2025/11/24
マーケット開始日
Nov 21, 2025, 1:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

提案された結果: 25bps cut

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: 25bps cut

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?」は$367.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 21, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?」の現在のリーダーは「Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。