Traders' near-unanimous 96.9% consensus on "No" for federal charges against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by June 30 stems from the complete absence of any credible evidence, official investigations, or announcements from the Department of Justice or related agencies. Recent Fed policy decisions, including interest rate signals and congressional testimonies, show no legal entanglements, while partisan criticisms from figures like former President Trump focus on policy disagreements rather than prosecutable offenses. With just weeks remaining, the lack of momentum in primary sources reinforces this skin-in-the-game assessment. Realistic shifts could arise from an unforeseen DOJ indictment tied to audited Fed actions, though historical precedents for charging sitting central bankers remain exceedingly rare.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$232,580 Vol.
$232,580 Vol.
はい
$232,580 Vol.
$232,580 Vol.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' near-unanimous 96.9% consensus on "No" for federal charges against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by June 30 stems from the complete absence of any credible evidence, official investigations, or announcements from the Department of Justice or related agencies. Recent Fed policy decisions, including interest rate signals and congressional testimonies, show no legal entanglements, while partisan criticisms from figures like former President Trump focus on policy disagreements rather than prosecutable offenses. With just weeks remaining, the lack of momentum in primary sources reinforces this skin-in-the-game assessment. Realistic shifts could arise from an unforeseen DOJ indictment tied to audited Fed actions, though historical precedents for charging sitting central bankers remain exceedingly rare.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問