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ケビン・ウォーシュ連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名は5月15日までに撤回されましたか?

Market icon

ケビン・ウォーシュ連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名は5月15日までに撤回されましたか?

はい

3% chance
Polymarket

$63,978 Vol.

はい

3% chance
Polymarket

$63,978 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.

No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.

No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ケビン・ウォーシュ連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名は5月15日までに撤回されましたか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ケビン・ウォーシュのFRB議長指名は5月15日までに撤回されますか?」で3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、3¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に3%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ケビン・ウォーシュ連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名は5月15日までに撤回されましたか?」は$64Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 5, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ケビン・ウォーシュ連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名は5月15日までに撤回されましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ケビン・ウォーシュ連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名は5月15日までに撤回されましたか?」の現在のリーダーは「ケビン・ウォーシュのFRB議長指名は5月15日までに撤回されますか?」でわずか3%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ケビン・ウォーシュ連邦準備制度理事会議長の指名は5月15日までに撤回されましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。