No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$63,978 Vol.
$63,978 Vol.
はい
$63,978 Vol.
$63,978 Vol.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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