Market icon

2028年民主党大統領候補

Market icon

2028年民主党大統領候補

ギャビン・ニューサム 25.4%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.5%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.8%

Polymarket

$779,740,975 Vol.

ギャビン・ニューサム 25.4%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.5%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.8%

Polymarket

$779,740,975 Vol.

Market icon

ギャビン・ニューサム

$10,521,409 Vol.

25%

Market icon

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス

$5,350,669 Vol.

9%

Market icon

カマラ・ハリス

$7,421,863 Vol.

5%

Market icon

ジョン・オソフ

$4,987,476 Vol.

5%

Market icon

ジョシュ・シャピロ

$4,996,846 Vol.

4%

Market icon

ピート・ブティジェッジ

$7,343,610 Vol.

3%

Market icon

マーク・ケリー

$9,218,311 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ジェームズ・タラリコ

$2,310,469 Vol.

2%

Market icon

アンディ・ベシア

$4,966,823 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ジョン・スチュワート

$8,101,398 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ルーベン・ガレゴ

$3,002,472 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B.プリツカー

$7,277,259 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ウェス・ムーア

$9,053,579 Vol.

2%

Market icon

グレッチェン・ウィットマー

$6,210,843 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ラーム・エマニュエル

$9,255,561 Vol.

2%

Market icon

スティーブン・A・スミス

$11,373,598 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ドウェイン・“ザ・ロック”・ジョンソン

$7,646,864 Vol.

1%

Market icon

コリー・ブッカー

$17,539,865 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ミシェル・オバマ

$18,024,496 Vol.

1%

Market icon

バラク・オバマ

$20,419,344 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ゾラン・マムダニ

$30,689,566 Vol.

1%

Market icon

マーク・キューバン

$13,764,774 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ロ・カンナ

$3,350,521 Vol.

1%

Market icon

フィル・マーフィー

$28,360,127 Vol.

1%

Market icon

クリス・マーフィー

$8,768,025 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジーナ・ライモンド

$23,656,755 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ラファエル・ワーノック

$18,882,676 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジョージ・クルーニー

$33,434,875 Vol.

1%

Market icon

リズ・チェイニー

$28,178,273 Vol.

1%

Market icon

アンドリュー・ヤン

$33,336,298 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジョン・フェッターマン

$14,594,605 Vol.

1%

Market icon

レブロン・ジェームズ

$29,942,781 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ハンター・バイデン

$26,303,976 Vol.

1%

Market icon

チェルシー・クリントン

$41,172,922 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$31,293,037 Vol.

1%

Market icon

バーニー・サンダース

$31,979,442 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ベト・オルーク

$25,202,418 Vol.

1%

Market icon

キム・カーダシアン

$24,782,490 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ロイ・クーパー

$22,660,925 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ヒラリー・クリントン

$32,157,736 Vol.

1%

Market icon

オプラ・ウィンフリー

$38,306,340 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ティム・ウォルズ

$32,093,137 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジャレッド・ポリス

$15,364,101 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジャスミン・クロケット

$16,442,415 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$779,740,975
終了日
Nov 7, 2028
マーケット開始日
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主党大統領候補" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, followed by "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主党大統領候補" has generated $779.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主党大統領候補," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主党大統領候補" is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主党大統領候補" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.