Connecticut's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in the Cook Political Report's solid Democratic rating and the party's consistent success in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jahana Hayes, first elected in 2018, enters the 2026 race with established name recognition and fundraising advantages, positioning her as the frontrunner ahead of the August 11 primaries. Multiple Democratic challengers have filed, yet none have mounted a sustained threat that would alter the outlook. On the Republican side, several candidates including Chris Shea have entered, but the district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by a wide margin. Traders assign the Democratic Party the leading share of probability based on these structural factors and the absence of disruptive developments in the opening months of the cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
91%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$411 Vol.
91%
共和党
$2,065 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in the Cook Political Report's solid Democratic rating and the party's consistent success in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jahana Hayes, first elected in 2018, enters the 2026 race with established name recognition and fundraising advantages, positioning her as the frontrunner ahead of the August 11 primaries. Multiple Democratic challengers have filed, yet none have mounted a sustained threat that would alter the outlook. On the Republican side, several candidates including Chris Shea have entered, but the district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by a wide margin. Traders assign the Democratic Party the leading share of probability based on these structural factors and the absence of disruptive developments in the opening months of the cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
音量
$2,475終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in the Cook Political Report's solid Democratic rating and the party's consistent success in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jahana Hayes, first elected in 2018, enters the 2026 race with established name recognition and fundraising advantages, positioning her as the frontrunner ahead of the August 11 primaries. Multiple Democratic challengers have filed, yet none have mounted a sustained threat that would alter the outlook. On the Republican side, several candidates including Chris Shea have entered, but the district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by a wide margin. Traders assign the Democratic Party the leading share of probability based on these structural factors and the absence of disruptive developments in the opening months of the cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,475終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in the Cook Political Report's solid Democratic rating and the party's consistent success in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jahana Hayes, first elected in 2018, enters the 2026 race with established name recognition and fundraising advantages, positioning her as the frontrunner ahead of the August 11 primaries. Multiple Democratic challengers have filed, yet none have mounted a sustained threat that would alter the outlook. On the Republican side, several candidates including Chris Shea have entered, but the district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by a wide margin. Traders assign the Democratic Party the leading share of probability based on these structural factors and the absence of disruptive developments in the opening months of the cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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