Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Centro Democrático (CD) at 83.5% implied probability to secure second place in nationwide vote share for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election on March 8, 2026, based on consistent pre-campaign polls positioning it just behind the Conservative Party but ahead of rivals like Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 19.4%. President Petro's Historic Pact polls below 5% amid approval ratings under 30%, weakening left-wing contenders, while CD benefits from unified right-wing opposition consolidation post-2022 losses. A September Guarumo survey showed CD at 22% support versus Conservatives' 25% and PLC's 16%, with no major shifts in recent weeks. Upcoming closed-list submissions by late 2025 could test these standings, but structural advantages like CD's strong regional bases in Antioquia maintain its edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD） 75.0%
コロンビア自由党（PLC） 17.0%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH） <1%
コロンビア保守党（保守党） <1%
$86,900 Vol.
$86,900 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD）
84%
コロンビア自由党（PLC）
19%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH）
1%
コロンビア保守党（保守党）
<1%
カンビオ・ラディカル（CR）
<1%
グリーン・アライアンス（AV）
<1%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U）
<1%
MIRA-CJL連合（MIRA-CJL）
<1%
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD） 75.0%
コロンビア自由党（PLC） 17.0%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH） <1%
コロンビア保守党（保守党） <1%
$86,900 Vol.
$86,900 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD）
$7,010 Vol.
84%
コロンビア自由党（PLC）
$22,805 Vol.
19%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH）
$55,251 Vol.
1%
コロンビア保守党（保守党）
$0 Vol.
<1%
カンビオ・ラディカル（CR）
$0 Vol.
<1%
グリーン・アライアンス（AV）
$0 Vol.
<1%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U）
$0 Vol.
<1%
MIRA-CJL連合（MIRA-CJL）
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Centro Democrático (CD) at 83.5% implied probability to secure second place in nationwide vote share for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election on March 8, 2026, based on consistent pre-campaign polls positioning it just behind the Conservative Party but ahead of rivals like Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 19.4%. President Petro's Historic Pact polls below 5% amid approval ratings under 30%, weakening left-wing contenders, while CD benefits from unified right-wing opposition consolidation post-2022 losses. A September Guarumo survey showed CD at 22% support versus Conservatives' 25% and PLC's 16%, with no major shifts in recent weeks. Upcoming closed-list submissions by late 2025 could test these standings, but structural advantages like CD's strong regional bases in Antioquia maintain its edge.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日： Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
音量
$86,900終了日
Mar 8, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Centro Democrático (CD) at 83.5% implied probability to secure second place in nationwide vote share for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election on March 8, 2026, based on consistent pre-campaign polls positioning it just behind the Conservative Party but ahead of rivals like Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 19.4%. President Petro's Historic Pact polls below 5% amid approval ratings under 30%, weakening left-wing contenders, while CD benefits from unified right-wing opposition consolidation post-2022 losses. A September Guarumo survey showed CD at 22% support versus Conservatives' 25% and PLC's 16%, with no major shifts in recent weeks. Upcoming closed-list submissions by late 2025 could test these standings, but structural advantages like CD's strong regional bases in Antioquia maintain its edge.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$86,900終了日
Mar 8, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Centro Democrático (CD) at 83.5% implied probability to secure second place in nationwide vote share for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election on March 8, 2026, based on consistent pre-campaign polls positioning it just behind the Conservative Party but ahead of rivals like Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 19.4%. President Petro's Historic Pact polls below 5% amid approval ratings under 30%, weakening left-wing contenders, while CD benefits from unified right-wing opposition consolidation post-2022 losses. A September Guarumo survey showed CD at 22% support versus Conservatives' 25% and PLC's 16%, with no major shifts in recent weeks. Upcoming closed-list submissions by late 2025 could test these standings, but structural advantages like CD's strong regional bases in Antioquia maintain its edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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