Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,755 Vol.
2026/06/02
マイク・トンプソン
99%
エリック・ジョーンズ
95%
トレバー・メレル
15%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
9%
マンディ・グシャル
6%
シャロン・ブラウン
6%
ローリー・マッケンジー
4%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
45%
$20,755 Vol.
マイク・トンプソン
$6,502 Vol.
99%
エリック・ジョーンズ
$4,052 Vol.
95%
トレバー・メレル
$6,288 Vol.
15%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
$252 Vol.
9%
マンディ・グシャル
$728 Vol.
6%
シャロン・ブラウン
$1,605 Vol.
6%
ローリー・マッケンジー
$710 Vol.
4%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
$618 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
音量
$20,755終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,755終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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