Polymarket traders are pricing an 87.5% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, driven by sustained disinflation and the central bank's seventh consecutive 50 basis point cut to 15% on March 20 amid cooling consumer prices near 5.9% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%. Governor Nabiullina's recent statements emphasized non-automatic easing, with inflation forecasted at 4.5-5.5% for 2026, though Middle East tensions and fiscal uncertainties pose upside risks to price growth. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects balanced monetary policy amid ruble stability, contrasting negligible odds for hikes given the easing trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日引き下げ 88%
据え置き 12%
引き上げ <1%
$38,455 Vol.
$38,455 Vol.
2026/04/24
引き下げ
88%
据え置き
12%
引き上げ
<1%
引き下げ 88%
据え置き 12%
引き上げ <1%
$38,455 Vol.
$38,455 Vol.
2026/04/24
引き下げ
$18,767 Vol.
88%
据え置き
$8,489 Vol.
12%
引き上げ
$11,205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders are pricing an 87.5% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, driven by sustained disinflation and the central bank's seventh consecutive 50 basis point cut to 15% on March 20 amid cooling consumer prices near 5.9% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%. Governor Nabiullina's recent statements emphasized non-automatic easing, with inflation forecasted at 4.5-5.5% for 2026, though Middle East tensions and fiscal uncertainties pose upside risks to price growth. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects balanced monetary policy amid ruble stability, contrasting negligible odds for hikes given the easing trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
音量
$38,455終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders are pricing an 87.5% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, driven by sustained disinflation and the central bank's seventh consecutive 50 basis point cut to 15% on March 20 amid cooling consumer prices near 5.9% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%. Governor Nabiullina's recent statements emphasized non-automatic easing, with inflation forecasted at 4.5-5.5% for 2026, though Middle East tensions and fiscal uncertainties pose upside risks to price growth. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects balanced monetary policy amid ruble stability, contrasting negligible odds for hikes given the easing trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$38,455終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders are pricing an 87.5% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, driven by sustained disinflation and the central bank's seventh consecutive 50 basis point cut to 15% on March 20 amid cooling consumer prices near 5.9% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%. Governor Nabiullina's recent statements emphasized non-automatic easing, with inflation forecasted at 4.5-5.5% for 2026, though Middle East tensions and fiscal uncertainties pose upside risks to price growth. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects balanced monetary policy amid ruble stability, contrasting negligible odds for hikes given the easing trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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