Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early endorsement from President Trump in January, which positioned him as a top MAGA-aligned contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's name recognition from his Arizona Cardinals career and superior fundraising have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded field, outpacing state Rep. Joseph Chaplik (5.5%), businessman Jason Duey (5.6%), and talk show host Todd Graham (5.3%). Absent recent polls or major developments in the past 30 days, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Feely's organizational strength and voter appeal ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ジェイ・フィーリー 71%
ジョセフ・チャプリック 5.5%
トッド・グラハム 5.4%
ジョン・トロボー 3.1%
$306,421 Vol.
$306,421 Vol.
2026/08/04
ジェイ・フィーリー
71%
ジョセフ・チャプリック
6%
トッド・グラハム
5%
ジョン・トロボー
3%
ブランドン・サワーズ
2%
デリック・ガレゴ
2%
ジーナ・スウォボダ
1%
マーク・ブロノビッチ
1%
カリ・レイク
1%
ポール・リーブス
1%
ジェイソン・デューイ
6%
カイトリン・パーリントン
1%
マット・グレス
1%
ムシェル・ウジェンティ＝リタ
<1%
ジェイ・フィーリー 71%
ジョセフ・チャプリック 5.5%
トッド・グラハム 5.4%
ジョン・トロボー 3.1%
$306,421 Vol.
$306,421 Vol.
2026/08/04
ジェイ・フィーリー
$4,558 Vol.
71%
ジョセフ・チャプリック
$7,369 Vol.
6%
トッド・グラハム
$0 Vol.
5%
ジョン・トロボー
$0 Vol.
3%
ブランドン・サワーズ
$0 Vol.
2%
デリック・ガレゴ
$2,937 Vol.
2%
ジーナ・スウォボダ
$0 Vol.
1%
マーク・ブロノビッチ
$4,312 Vol.
1%
カリ・レイク
$6,398 Vol.
1%
ポール・リーブス
$220,976 Vol.
1%
ジェイソン・デューイ
$0 Vol.
6%
カイトリン・パーリントン
$8,015 Vol.
1%
マット・グレス
$47,835 Vol.
1%
ムシェル・ウジェンティ＝リタ
$4,021 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early endorsement from President Trump in January, which positioned him as a top MAGA-aligned contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's name recognition from his Arizona Cardinals career and superior fundraising have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded field, outpacing state Rep. Joseph Chaplik (5.5%), businessman Jason Duey (5.6%), and talk show host Todd Graham (5.3%). Absent recent polls or major developments in the past 30 days, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Feely's organizational strength and voter appeal ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
音量
$306,421終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early endorsement from President Trump in January, which positioned him as a top MAGA-aligned contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's name recognition from his Arizona Cardinals career and superior fundraising have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded field, outpacing state Rep. Joseph Chaplik (5.5%), businessman Jason Duey (5.6%), and talk show host Todd Graham (5.3%). Absent recent polls or major developments in the past 30 days, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Feely's organizational strength and voter appeal ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$306,421終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early endorsement from President Trump in January, which positioned him as a top MAGA-aligned contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's name recognition from his Arizona Cardinals career and superior fundraising have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded field, outpacing state Rep. Joseph Chaplik (5.5%), businessman Jason Duey (5.6%), and talk show host Todd Graham (5.3%). Absent recent polls or major developments in the past 30 days, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Feely's organizational strength and voter appeal ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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