Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 46%

Rick Rieder 31.2%

Christopher Waller 12.9%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$242,366,856 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$8,779,987 Vol.
46%

Rick Rieder
$7,200,360 Vol.
31%

Christopher Waller
$6,389,085 Vol.
13%

Kevin Hassett
$13,806,741 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$7,863,268 Vol.
3%

Judy Shelton
$7,737,499 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$5,941,299 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,736,555 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,293,619 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,544,854 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$10,535,594 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,344,933 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,172,307 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,855,080 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,014,403 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,300,975 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,206,940 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,334,202 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,583,070 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,121,655 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,685,331 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,889,860 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,835,459 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,270,144 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,918,631 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$242,366,856

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 46%

Rick Rieder 31.2%

Christopher Waller 12.9%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$242,366,856 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$8,779,987 Vol.

46%

Rick Rieder

$7,200,360 Vol.

31%

Christopher Waller

$6,389,085 Vol.

13%

Kevin Hassett

$13,806,741 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$7,863,268 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$7,737,499 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$5,941,299 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$5,736,555 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$5,293,619 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$4,544,854 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$10,535,594 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,344,933 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,172,307 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,855,080 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,014,403 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,300,975 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,206,940 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,334,202 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,583,070 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,121,655 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$9,685,331 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,889,860 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,835,459 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$19,270,144 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,918,631 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$242,366,856

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

60%

Will 50 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

28%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$8,779,987 Vol.
46%

Rick Rieder
$7,200,360 Vol.
31%

Christopher Waller
$6,389,085 Vol.
13%

Kevin Hassett
$13,806,741 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$7,863,268 Vol.
3%

Judy Shelton
$7,737,499 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$5,941,299 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,736,555 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,293,619 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,544,854 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$10,535,594 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,344,933 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,172,307 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,855,080 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,014,403 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,300,975 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,206,940 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,334,202 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,583,070 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,121,655 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,685,331 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,889,860 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,835,459 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,270,144 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,918,631 Vol.
<1%

Market Context