Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, have spiked Brent crude above $106 per barrel and WTI near $102 per barrel by March 31, driving the AAA national average regular gasoline price to $4.018 per gallon and resolving Polymarket thresholds affirmatively for levels up to $4.02. Trader consensus on the platform, backed by over $640,000 in volume, priced in supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and expanded refining margins amid spring demand. Key swing factors included oil flow reductions and 40-50% monthly crude gains. Traders now eye April EIA weekly reports (next April 7), potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and OPEC+ responses for sustained pricing dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$642,245 Vol.
↑ 5,00 $
Non
↑ 4,50 $
Non
↑ 4,25 $
Non
↑ 4,00 $
Oui
↑ 3,75 $
Oui
↑ 3,50 $
Oui
↑ 3,35 $
Oui
↑ 3,25 $
Oui
↓ 3,15 $
Non
↓ 3,10 $
Non
↓ 3,05 $
Non
↓ 3,00 $
Non
$642,245 Vol.
↑ 5,00 $
Non
↑ 4,50 $
Non
↑ 4,25 $
Non
↑ 4,00 $
Oui
↑ 3,75 $
Oui
↑ 3,50 $
Oui
↑ 3,35 $
Oui
↑ 3,25 $
Oui
↓ 3,15 $
Non
↓ 3,10 $
Non
↓ 3,05 $
Non
↓ 3,00 $
Non
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Marché ouvert : Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, have spiked Brent crude above $106 per barrel and WTI near $102 per barrel by March 31, driving the AAA national average regular gasoline price to $4.018 per gallon and resolving Polymarket thresholds affirmatively for levels up to $4.02. Trader consensus on the platform, backed by over $640,000 in volume, priced in supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and expanded refining margins amid spring demand. Key swing factors included oil flow reductions and 40-50% monthly crude gains. Traders now eye April EIA weekly reports (next April 7), potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and OPEC+ responses for sustained pricing dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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