Katie Porter's October 1 campaign launch has energized the Democratic field in California's top-two gubernatorial primary, where the top two finishers advance to November regardless of party, positioning her as an early frontrunner in nascent polls alongside Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis. Former Senate President pro Tem Toni Atkins declined to run last week, narrowing the competitive primary slate set for March 3, 2026. Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco leads hypothetical Republican polling amid a sparse GOP field. Fundraising momentum and endorsements will drive trader consensus through 2025, with low early-voting turnout historically favoring established names in this open race absent an incumbent declaration from Gov. Gavin Newsom.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$112,180 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
73%
Steve Hilton
57%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
27%
Matt Mahan
22%
Katie Porter
21%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
6%
Ché Ahn
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Ryan Tillman
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Zoltan Istvan
2%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderon
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
$112,180 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
73%
Steve Hilton
57%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
27%
Matt Mahan
22%
Katie Porter
21%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
6%
Ché Ahn
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Ryan Tillman
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Zoltan Istvan
2%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderon
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Marché ouvert : Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Katie Porter's October 1 campaign launch has energized the Democratic field in California's top-two gubernatorial primary, where the top two finishers advance to November regardless of party, positioning her as an early frontrunner in nascent polls alongside Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis. Former Senate President pro Tem Toni Atkins declined to run last week, narrowing the competitive primary slate set for March 3, 2026. Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco leads hypothetical Republican polling amid a sparse GOP field. Fundraising momentum and endorsements will drive trader consensus through 2025, with low early-voting turnout historically favoring established names in this open race absent an incumbent declaration from Gov. Gavin Newsom.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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