Quelle coalition formera le prochain gouvernement néerlandais ?
Titre d'élément de groupe : VVD + CDA + D66 92.3%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66 2.5%
Pas de coalition d'ici le 31 octobre 1.0%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA <1%
$27,288,815 Vol.
$27,288,815 Vol.
Titre d'élément de groupe : VVD + CDA + D66
$795,071 Vol.
92%
Titre d'élément de groupe : VVD + CDA + D66
$795,071 Vol.
92%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$767,137 Vol.
3%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$767,137 Vol.
3%
Pas de coalition d'ici le 31 octobre
$492,158 Vol.
1%
Pas de coalition d'ici le 31 octobre
$492,158 Vol.
1%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
$506,768 Vol.
1%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
$506,768 Vol.
1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + D66
$879,839 Vol.
1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + D66
$879,839 Vol.
1%
CDA + D66
$312,378 Vol.
1%
CDA + D66
$312,378 Vol.
1%
Autre
$869,652 Vol.
<1%
Autre
$869,652 Vol.
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$2,585,261 Vol.
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$2,585,261 Vol.
<1%
VVD + CDA
$3,848,818 Vol.
<1%
VVD + CDA
$3,848,818 Vol.
<1%
PVV + JA21
$62,338 Vol.
<1%
PVV + JA21
$62,338 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21
$200,929 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21
$200,929 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66
$717,854 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66
$717,854 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD
$946,056 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD
$946,056 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA
$913,440 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA
$913,440 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + D66
$771,720 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + D66
$771,720 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA + JA21
$1,175,890 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA + JA21
$1,175,890 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21
$1,102,577 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21
$1,102,577 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$666,213 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
$666,213 Vol.
<1%
Titre d'élément de groupe : PVV + VVD + CDA
$460,169 Vol.
<1%
Titre d'élément de groupe : PVV + VVD + CDA
$460,169 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA + D66
$52,875 Vol.
<1%
PVV + CDA + D66
$52,875 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
$1,176,442 Vol.
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
$1,176,442 Vol.
<1%
VVD + JA21
$226,073 Vol.
<1%
VVD + JA21
$226,073 Vol.
<1%
VVD + D66
$203,124 Vol.
<1%
VVD + D66
$203,124 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$300,587 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
$300,587 Vol.
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66
$5,791,166 Vol.
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66
$5,791,166 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + D66
$34,657 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + D66
$34,657 Vol.
<1%
VVD + CDA + JA21
$241,157 Vol.
<1%
VVD + CDA + JA21
$241,157 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD
$181,223 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD
$181,223 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + CDA
$611,251 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA + CDA
$611,251 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA
$394,951 Vol.
<1%
GL/PvdA
$394,951 Vol.
<1%
Règles
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.
If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31".
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition.
For example:
If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”.
If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No".
If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”.
In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.
Créé le : Oct 15, 2025, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Quelle coalition formera le prochain gouvernement néerlandais ?
Titre d'élément de groupe : VVD + CDA + D66 92.3%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66 2.5%
Pas de coalition d'ici le 31 octobre 1.0%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA <1%
$27,288,815 Vol.
$27,288,815 Vol.
Titre d'élément de groupe : VVD + CDA + D66
92%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
3%
Pas de coalition d'ici le 31 octobre
1%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + D66
1%
CDA + D66
1%
Autre
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
<1%
VVD + CDA
<1%
PVV + JA21
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21
<1%
PVV + VVD + JA21 + D66
<1%
PVV + VVD
<1%
PVV + CDA
<1%
PVV + VVD + D66
<1%
PVV + CDA + JA21
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
<1%
Titre d'élément de groupe : PVV + VVD + CDA
<1%
PVV + CDA + D66
<1%
PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
<1%
VVD + JA21
<1%
VVD + D66
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA
<1%
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66
<1%
GL/PvdA + D66
<1%
VVD + CDA + JA21
<1%
GL/PvdA + VVD
<1%
GL/PvdA + CDA
<1%
GL/PvdA
<1%
À propos
Resolver
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