Everett Jackson's commanding 38% first-place finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District has solidified trader consensus at 82% implied probability for him to win the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels, who placed second at 24%, positioning Jackson as the frontrunner in this low-turnout contest within a Democratic-leaning district. Nils Walker's March 19 endorsement of Jackson, after taking fourth place, likely bolsters his support among conservative voters, while Gregor Heise's third-place showing leaves slim odds for any post-primary challenges. With early voting starting May 18, fundraising momentum and grassroots consolidation could further shape the nominee selection ahead of the November general.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEverett Jackson 77.4%
Sholdon Daniels 13%
Gregor Heise 4.1%
Nils Walker 2.1%
$22,328 Vol.
$22,328 Vol.
Everett Jackson
83%
Sholdon Daniels
13%
Gregor Heise
4%
Nils Walker
2%
Everett Jackson 77.4%
Sholdon Daniels 13%
Gregor Heise 4.1%
Nils Walker 2.1%
$22,328 Vol.
$22,328 Vol.
Everett Jackson
83%
Sholdon Daniels
13%
Gregor Heise
4%
Nils Walker
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Everett Jackson's commanding 38% first-place finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District has solidified trader consensus at 82% implied probability for him to win the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels, who placed second at 24%, positioning Jackson as the frontrunner in this low-turnout contest within a Democratic-leaning district. Nils Walker's March 19 endorsement of Jackson, after taking fourth place, likely bolsters his support among conservative voters, while Gregor Heise's third-place showing leaves slim odds for any post-primary challenges. With early voting starting May 18, fundraising momentum and grassroots consolidation could further shape the nominee selection ahead of the November general.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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