Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District—well ahead of Sholdon Daniels' 24%—propels trader consensus to price him at 68% to win the May 26 runoff and secure the GOP nomination in this open, Democratic-leaning seat. Jackson's grassroots momentum as a DeSoto community leader and small business owner, bolstered by support from eliminated candidates Gregorio Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%), outweighs Daniels' advantages in pre-primary fundraising ($354K vs. $15K) and military veteran credentials emphasizing America First priorities like border security. With early voting set for May 18–22 and low GOP turnout typical in runoffs, Jackson's first-round plurality signals stronger base consolidation amid no major post-primary polls or endorsements shifting dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEverett Jackson 77.4%
Sholdon Daniels 13%
Gregor Heise 4.1%
Nils Walker 2.3%
$22,328 Vol.
$22,328 Vol.
Everett Jackson
75%
Sholdon Daniels
13%
Gregor Heise
4%
Nils Walker
2%
Everett Jackson 77.4%
Sholdon Daniels 13%
Gregor Heise 4.1%
Nils Walker 2.3%
$22,328 Vol.
$22,328 Vol.
Everett Jackson
75%
Sholdon Daniels
13%
Gregor Heise
4%
Nils Walker
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District—well ahead of Sholdon Daniels' 24%—propels trader consensus to price him at 68% to win the May 26 runoff and secure the GOP nomination in this open, Democratic-leaning seat. Jackson's grassroots momentum as a DeSoto community leader and small business owner, bolstered by support from eliminated candidates Gregorio Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%), outweighs Daniels' advantages in pre-primary fundraising ($354K vs. $15K) and military veteran credentials emphasizing America First priorities like border security. With early voting set for May 18–22 and low GOP turnout typical in runoffs, Jackson's first-round plurality signals stronger base consolidation amid no major post-primary polls or endorsements shifting dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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