The TX-29 seat's commanding Democratic lead in trading stems from its deep partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent forecaster ratings as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 3 primary with 58 percent of the vote, clearing a redistricting effort by Texas Republicans that adjusted boundaries but left the Houston-area district's core voter base intact. Republican nominee Martha Fierro faces a steep climb in a constituency that has delivered Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles. The consensus pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency and turnout patterns rarely shift absent a major national swing or unforeseen candidate event before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-29 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-29 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$3,292 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$382 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-29 seat's commanding Democratic lead in trading stems from its deep partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent forecaster ratings as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 3 primary with 58 percent of the vote, clearing a redistricting effort by Texas Republicans that adjusted boundaries but left the Houston-area district's core voter base intact. Republican nominee Martha Fierro faces a steep climb in a constituency that has delivered Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles. The consensus pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency and turnout patterns rarely shift absent a major national swing or unforeseen candidate event before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$3,674Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-29 seat's commanding Democratic lead in trading stems from its deep partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent forecaster ratings as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 3 primary with 58 percent of the vote, clearing a redistricting effort by Texas Republicans that adjusted boundaries but left the Houston-area district's core voter base intact. Republican nominee Martha Fierro faces a steep climb in a constituency that has delivered Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles. The consensus pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency and turnout patterns rarely shift absent a major national swing or unforeseen candidate event before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,674Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-29 seat's commanding Democratic lead in trading stems from its deep partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent forecaster ratings as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 3 primary with 58 percent of the vote, clearing a redistricting effort by Texas Republicans that adjusted boundaries but left the Houston-area district's core voter base intact. Republican nominee Martha Fierro faces a steep climb in a constituency that has delivered Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles. The consensus pricing aligns with historical base rates for safe seats, where incumbency and turnout patterns rarely shift absent a major national swing or unforeseen candidate event before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes