The FL-27 contest has tightened into a competitive race, with internal and campaign polls showing incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holding a narrow lead or near parity against Democrat Eliott Rodriguez in the heavily Hispanic Miami-Dade district. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report shifted the rating to Lean Republican after earlier “safe” or “likely” assessments, citing polling trends and reported backlash among some Hispanic voters over federal immigration enforcement. Salazar maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage and won her August primary decisively, while Rodriguez, a former local news anchor, advanced from a competitive Democratic primary and has focused attacks on the incumbent’s record. Traders price Salazar as the favorite but assign Rodriguez meaningful win odds consistent with the district’s recent movement toward closer margins ahead of the November 3 general election.