Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a lead in the Florida 27th congressional district race due to her substantial fundraising edge and history of expanding margins in prior cycles, though the contest has tightened into a competitive Lean Republican seat. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report shifted ratings in September after polls showed a near tie and highlighted voter pushback on federal immigration policies in the heavily Hispanic Miami-Dade district. Democrat Eliott Rodriguez, a longtime local broadcaster who won his primary, secured recent endorsements from Miami-Dade and Miami mayors while emphasizing housing, insurance, and grocery costs. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader pricing reflects Salazar’s structural advantages alongside the district’s evolving partisan lean and national political dynamics.