South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains rated solidly Democratic by major forecasters, with longtime incumbent James Clyburn facing a June 9 Democratic primary challenge. However, Republican-led efforts to redraw the state's congressional maps—advanced in the House and under discussion in the Senate amid calls from national party figures—represent the primary driver behind the current trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory on November 3. These developments, occurring weeks before primaries, introduce uncertainty over district boundaries that could shift voter composition and electoral math. The Republican primary also features candidates on the June 9 ballot, while historical patterns in the district and recent legislative actions on redistricting continue to influence assessments of path-to-victory scenarios.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
SC-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$17,270 Vol.
$17,270 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
66%
Parti démocrate
36%
$17,270 Vol.
$17,270 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$9,767 Vol.
66%
Parti démocrate
$7,504 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains rated solidly Democratic by major forecasters, with longtime incumbent James Clyburn facing a June 9 Democratic primary challenge. However, Republican-led efforts to redraw the state's congressional maps—advanced in the House and under discussion in the Senate amid calls from national party figures—represent the primary driver behind the current trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory on November 3. These developments, occurring weeks before primaries, introduce uncertainty over district boundaries that could shift voter composition and electoral math. The Republican primary also features candidates on the June 9 ballot, while historical patterns in the district and recent legislative actions on redistricting continue to influence assessments of path-to-victory scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$17,270Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains rated solidly Democratic by major forecasters, with longtime incumbent James Clyburn facing a June 9 Democratic primary challenge. However, Republican-led efforts to redraw the state's congressional maps—advanced in the House and under discussion in the Senate amid calls from national party figures—represent the primary driver behind the current trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory on November 3. These developments, occurring weeks before primaries, introduce uncertainty over district boundaries that could shift voter composition and electoral math. The Republican primary also features candidates on the June 9 ballot, while historical patterns in the district and recent legislative actions on redistricting continue to influence assessments of path-to-victory scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,270Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains rated solidly Democratic by major forecasters, with longtime incumbent James Clyburn facing a June 9 Democratic primary challenge. However, Republican-led efforts to redraw the state's congressional maps—advanced in the House and under discussion in the Senate amid calls from national party figures—represent the primary driver behind the current trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory on November 3. These developments, occurring weeks before primaries, introduce uncertainty over district boundaries that could shift voter composition and electoral math. The Republican primary also features candidates on the June 9 ballot, while historical patterns in the district and recent legislative actions on redistricting continue to influence assessments of path-to-victory scenarios.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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