South Carolina Republicans’ recent push to redraw congressional districts has elevated the Republican Party’s position in the SC-06 race, with traders assigning it a 64 percent implied probability versus 38 percent for Democrats. On May 21 the state House approved a map that would shift boundaries in the long-Democratic district held by incumbent Jim Clyburn, aiming to reduce its Democratic tilt ahead of the November 2026 general election. The measure now moves to the Republican-controlled Senate. Clyburn faces a June 9 primary challenge while Republican candidates also advance through primaries the same day; the district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index remains D+13, yet the proposed lines introduce new uncertainty that could alter the path to victory for either party.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
SC-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$17,270 Vol.
$17,270 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
64%
Parti démocrate
38%
$17,270 Vol.
$17,270 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$9,767 Vol.
64%
Parti démocrate
$7,504 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina Republicans’ recent push to redraw congressional districts has elevated the Republican Party’s position in the SC-06 race, with traders assigning it a 64 percent implied probability versus 38 percent for Democrats. On May 21 the state House approved a map that would shift boundaries in the long-Democratic district held by incumbent Jim Clyburn, aiming to reduce its Democratic tilt ahead of the November 2026 general election. The measure now moves to the Republican-controlled Senate. Clyburn faces a June 9 primary challenge while Republican candidates also advance through primaries the same day; the district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index remains D+13, yet the proposed lines introduce new uncertainty that could alter the path to victory for either party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$17,270Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina Republicans’ recent push to redraw congressional districts has elevated the Republican Party’s position in the SC-06 race, with traders assigning it a 64 percent implied probability versus 38 percent for Democrats. On May 21 the state House approved a map that would shift boundaries in the long-Democratic district held by incumbent Jim Clyburn, aiming to reduce its Democratic tilt ahead of the November 2026 general election. The measure now moves to the Republican-controlled Senate. Clyburn faces a June 9 primary challenge while Republican candidates also advance through primaries the same day; the district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index remains D+13, yet the proposed lines introduce new uncertainty that could alter the path to victory for either party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,270Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina Republicans’ recent push to redraw congressional districts has elevated the Republican Party’s position in the SC-06 race, with traders assigning it a 64 percent implied probability versus 38 percent for Democrats. On May 21 the state House approved a map that would shift boundaries in the long-Democratic district held by incumbent Jim Clyburn, aiming to reduce its Democratic tilt ahead of the November 2026 general election. The measure now moves to the Republican-controlled Senate. Clyburn faces a June 9 primary challenge while Republican candidates also advance through primaries the same day; the district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index remains D+13, yet the proposed lines introduce new uncertainty that could alter the path to victory for either party.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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