Redistricting after a Supreme Court ruling shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republican advantage, with the new map reflecting a prior Trump margin near 17 points and prompting race ratings of Lean or Likely Republican. Republican nominee Rhett Marques secured his party’s August primary nomination and gained endorsements from President Trump and the NFIB, while highlighting contrasts on taxes, overtime, and tips. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces attacks over Pelosi-linked contributions and his voting record; Democratic groups have countered with ads targeting Marques on gas taxes and personal finances. Recent internal polls show a competitive race with Figures maintaining some ground through incumbency and turnout efforts, yet the map fundamentals and national Republican positioning underpin the current trader consensus favoring Marques.