Former President Rumen Radev leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability to become Bulgaria's next prime minister, fueled by his Progressive Bulgaria alliance topping polls by about 9 points ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. His anti-establishment platform resonates with voter anger over corruption, inflation, and the December 2025 resignation of Rosen Zhelyazkov's coalition government, which prompted President Iliana Iotova to appoint central banker Andrey Gyurov as caretaker prime minister. Recent backlash against Gyurov's Ukraine security pact has boosted Radev's pro-sovereignty rhetoric, while Assen Vassilev's rival We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition holds second at 20.6%. Coalition negotiations post-election will determine the outcome, with low turnout risks persisting despite Gyurov's vote-buying crackdowns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNext Prime Minister of Bulgaria
Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria
Rumen Radev 68%
Assen Vassilev 20.7%
Andrey Gyurov 10%
Dimitar Glavchev <1%

Rumen Radev
68%

Assen Vassilev
21%

Andrey Gyurov
10%

Dimitar Glavchev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
1%

Nikolai Denkov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Boyko Borissov
<1%
Rumen Radev 68%
Assen Vassilev 20.7%
Andrey Gyurov 10%
Dimitar Glavchev <1%

Rumen Radev
68%

Assen Vassilev
21%

Andrey Gyurov
10%

Dimitar Glavchev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
1%

Nikolai Denkov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Boyko Borissov
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Former President Rumen Radev leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability to become Bulgaria's next prime minister, fueled by his Progressive Bulgaria alliance topping polls by about 9 points ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. His anti-establishment platform resonates with voter anger over corruption, inflation, and the December 2025 resignation of Rosen Zhelyazkov's coalition government, which prompted President Iliana Iotova to appoint central banker Andrey Gyurov as caretaker prime minister. Recent backlash against Gyurov's Ukraine security pact has boosted Radev's pro-sovereignty rhetoric, while Assen Vassilev's rival We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition holds second at 20.6%. Coalition negotiations post-election will determine the outcome, with low turnout risks persisting despite Gyurov's vote-buying crackdowns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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