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Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?

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Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$12,328 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$12,328 Vol.

Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Rachida Dati - Marseille: Franck Allisio - Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).Final results from France's 2026 municipal elections, with second-round runoffs on March 22, confirm no right-wing wave, yielding 100% trader consensus on "No" as Rassemblement National (RN) candidates secured modest gains in smaller towns but failed to capture key major cities. Paris remained under Socialist Emmanuel Grégoire, Marseille saw leftist incumbent Benoît Payan re-elected at 54.6%, and RN fell short in Toulon, Nîmes, and Lyon amid strategic alliances by centrists and traditional right (LR) parties. This urban blockade, echoing 2024 legislative dynamics, tempers RN momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential race. Official tallies underpin certainty, with only rare recounts posing theoretical reversal risk.

Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor:

- Paris: Rachida Dati
- Marseille: Franck Allisio
- Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas

If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
Volume
$12,328
Date de fin
22 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Rachida Dati - Marseille: Franck Allisio - Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Rachida Dati - Marseille: Franck Allisio - Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).Final results from France's 2026 municipal elections, with second-round runoffs on March 22, confirm no right-wing wave, yielding 100% trader consensus on "No" as Rassemblement National (RN) candidates secured modest gains in smaller towns but failed to capture key major cities. Paris remained under Socialist Emmanuel Grégoire, Marseille saw leftist incumbent Benoît Payan re-elected at 54.6%, and RN fell short in Toulon, Nîmes, and Lyon amid strategic alliances by centrists and traditional right (LR) parties. This urban blockade, echoing 2024 legislative dynamics, tempers RN momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential race. Official tallies underpin certainty, with only rare recounts posing theoretical reversal risk.

Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor:

- Paris: Rachida Dati
- Marseille: Franck Allisio
- Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas

If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
Volume
$12,328
Date de fin
22 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Rachida Dati - Marseille: Franck Allisio - Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 0% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 0¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? » a généré $12.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? » est de 0% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.