Tom Sell's commanding 40% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 19th Congressional District—an open seat after incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement—has solidified his frontrunner status ahead of the May 26 runoff against Abraham Enriquez, driving trader consensus to price Sell at nearly 87% implied probability. Recent endorsements for Sell from eliminated primary rivals including Ryan Zink, Donald May, Jason Corley, and James Barbee, announced in late March, signal vote consolidation among local voters favoring his West Texas rancher roots and focus on agriculture and regional issues. Enriquez, a Trump-aligned activist emphasizing America First policies and Hispanic outreach, holds about 7% odds but faces an uphill battle in the rural, safely Republican district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTom Sell 87.3%
Abraham Enriquez 7.0%
Ryan Zink 2.6%
Matthew Smith 2.3%
$62,569 Vol.
$62,569 Vol.
Tom Sell
87%
Abraham Enriquez
7%
Ryan Zink
3%
Matthew Smith
2%
Donald May
1%
Jason Corley
1%
James Barbee
1%
Tom Sell 87.3%
Abraham Enriquez 7.0%
Ryan Zink 2.6%
Matthew Smith 2.3%
$62,569 Vol.
$62,569 Vol.
Tom Sell
87%
Abraham Enriquez
7%
Ryan Zink
3%
Matthew Smith
2%
Donald May
1%
Jason Corley
1%
James Barbee
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell's commanding 40% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 19th Congressional District—an open seat after incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement—has solidified his frontrunner status ahead of the May 26 runoff against Abraham Enriquez, driving trader consensus to price Sell at nearly 87% implied probability. Recent endorsements for Sell from eliminated primary rivals including Ryan Zink, Donald May, Jason Corley, and James Barbee, announced in late March, signal vote consolidation among local voters favoring his West Texas rancher roots and focus on agriculture and regional issues. Enriquez, a Trump-aligned activist emphasizing America First policies and Hispanic outreach, holds about 7% odds but faces an uphill battle in the rural, safely Republican district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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