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Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine TX-19

Market icon

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine TX-19

Tom Sell 87.3%

Abraham Enriquez 7.0%

Ryan Zink 2.6%

Matthew Smith 2.3%

Polymarket

$62,569 Vol.

Tom Sell 87.3%

Abraham Enriquez 7.0%

Ryan Zink 2.6%

Matthew Smith 2.3%

Polymarket

$62,569 Vol.

Tom Sell

$42,872 Vol.

87%

Abraham Enriquez

$10,474 Vol.

7%

Ryan Zink

$1,207 Vol.

3%

Matthew Smith

$2,406 Vol.

2%

Donald May

$2,995 Vol.

1%

Jason Corley

$0 Vol.

1%

James Barbee

$2,615 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's commanding 40% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 19th Congressional District—an open seat after incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement—has solidified his frontrunner status ahead of the May 26 runoff against Abraham Enriquez, driving trader consensus to price Sell at nearly 87% implied probability. Recent endorsements for Sell from eliminated primary rivals including Ryan Zink, Donald May, Jason Corley, and James Barbee, announced in late March, signal vote consolidation among local voters favoring his West Texas rancher roots and focus on agriculture and regional issues. Enriquez, a Trump-aligned activist emphasizing America First policies and Hispanic outreach, holds about 7% odds but faces an uphill battle in the rural, safely Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$62,569
Date de fin
26 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's commanding 40% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 19th Congressional District—an open seat after incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement—has solidified his frontrunner status ahead of the May 26 runoff against Abraham Enriquez, driving trader consensus to price Sell at nearly 87% implied probability. Recent endorsements for Sell from eliminated primary rivals including Ryan Zink, Donald May, Jason Corley, and James Barbee, announced in late March, signal vote consolidation among local voters favoring his West Texas rancher roots and focus on agriculture and regional issues. Enriquez, a Trump-aligned activist emphasizing America First policies and Hispanic outreach, holds about 7% odds but faces an uphill battle in the rural, safely Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$62,569
Date de fin
26 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine TX-19 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Tom Sell » à 87%, suivi de « Abraham Enriquez » à 7%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 87¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine TX-19 » a généré $62.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 6, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine TX-19 », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine TX-19 » est « Tom Sell » à 87%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Abraham Enriquez » à 7%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine TX-19 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.