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Politique·Canada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Politique·Canada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 75%

Brad Bradford 12%

Ana Bailão 6%

Michael Ford 3.7%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Olivia Chow 75%

Brad Bradford 12%

Ana Bailão 6%

Michael Ford 3.7%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Market icon

Olivia Chow

$1,940 Vol.

75%

Market icon

Brad Bradford

$175 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Ana Bailão

$1,514 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Michael Ford

$823 Vol.

4%

Market icon

John Tory

$81 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Kevin Clarke

$90 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Marco Mendicino

$116 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Anthony Furey

$118 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, driven by her commanding double-digit leads in March polls following former Mayor John Tory's early-month decision to rule out a comeback. Liaison Strategies' March 10 survey showed Chow at 44% versus Coun. Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%, with earlier head-to-heads tightening but overall favouring the incumbent's 55% approval amid undecided voters. Bradford trails at 11.5% as the primary challenger, while Ana Bailão and others lag amid emerging attack ads criticizing Chow's record on garbage collection and fiscal policy. The race remains fluid with nominations pending and campaigns intensifying.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$4,856
Date de fin
26 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, driven by her commanding double-digit leads in March polls following former Mayor John Tory's early-month decision to rule out a comeback. Liaison Strategies' March 10 survey showed Chow at 44% versus Coun. Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%, with earlier head-to-heads tightening but overall favouring the incumbent's 55% approval amid undecided voters. Bradford trails at 11.5% as the primary challenger, while Ana Bailão and others lag amid emerging attack ads criticizing Chow's record on garbage collection and fiscal policy. The race remains fluid with nominations pending and campaigns intensifying.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$4,856
Date de fin
26 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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Questions fréquentes

« Toronto Mayoral Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Olivia Chow » à 75%, suivi de « Brad Bradford » à 12%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 75¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 75% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Toronto Mayoral Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Toronto Mayoral Election Winner », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Toronto Mayoral Election Winner » est « Olivia Chow » à 75%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 75% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Brad Bradford » à 12%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Toronto Mayoral Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.