Freedom Movement (GS) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability as the winner of Slovenia's parliamentary election under its proportional representation system, driven by official preliminary results showing it securing the largest share of the 90 seats in the National Assembly with over 99% of votes counted as of late last week. Exit polls and early tallies from the April 2022 snap election—still defining the current standing amid final certification—confirmed GS's lead ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), enabling Robert Golob's center-left bloc to form a coalition government. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this positioning. Potential challenges include rare late discrepancies in absentee or overseas ballots or successful court challenges to results, though historical precedents suggest such barriers are minimal for this margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection parlementaire slovène
Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire slovène
$4,342,385 Vol.
$4,342,385 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
Mouvement de la liberté (GS)
99%
Parti démocratique slovène (SDS)
1%
$4,342,385 Vol.
$4,342,385 Vol.
Mar 22, 2026
Mouvement de la liberté (GS)
$1,971,330 Vol.
99%
Parti démocratique slovène (SDS)
$2,371,055 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Freedom Movement (GS) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability as the winner of Slovenia's parliamentary election under its proportional representation system, driven by official preliminary results showing it securing the largest share of the 90 seats in the National Assembly with over 99% of votes counted as of late last week. Exit polls and early tallies from the April 2022 snap election—still defining the current standing amid final certification—confirmed GS's lead ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), enabling Robert Golob's center-left bloc to form a coalition government. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this positioning. Potential challenges include rare late discrepancies in absentee or overseas ballots or successful court challenges to results, though historical precedents suggest such barriers are minimal for this margin.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ET
Volume
$4,342,385Date de fin
Mar 22, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Freedom Movement (GS) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability as the winner of Slovenia's parliamentary election under its proportional representation system, driven by official preliminary results showing it securing the largest share of the 90 seats in the National Assembly with over 99% of votes counted as of late last week. Exit polls and early tallies from the April 2022 snap election—still defining the current standing amid final certification—confirmed GS's lead ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), enabling Robert Golob's center-left bloc to form a coalition government. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this positioning. Potential challenges include rare late discrepancies in absentee or overseas ballots or successful court challenges to results, though historical precedents suggest such barriers are minimal for this margin.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$4,342,385Date de fin
Mar 22, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Freedom Movement (GS) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability as the winner of Slovenia's parliamentary election under its proportional representation system, driven by official preliminary results showing it securing the largest share of the 90 seats in the National Assembly with over 99% of votes counted as of late last week. Exit polls and early tallies from the April 2022 snap election—still defining the current standing amid final certification—confirmed GS's lead ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), enabling Robert Golob's center-left bloc to form a coalition government. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this positioning. Potential challenges include rare late discrepancies in absentee or overseas ballots or successful court challenges to results, though historical precedents suggest such barriers are minimal for this margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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