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Prochain Premier ministre du Népal

Market icon

Prochain Premier ministre du Népal

Balendra « Balen » Shah 85%

Gagan Kumar Thapa 15%

KP Sharma Oli <1%

Prachanda <1%

Polymarket

$470,695 Vol.

Balendra « Balen » Shah 85%

Gagan Kumar Thapa 15%

KP Sharma Oli <1%

Prachanda <1%

Polymarket

$470,695 Vol.

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Balendra « Balen » Shah

$377,039 Vol.

85%

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Gagan Kumar Thapa

$23,007 Vol.

15%

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KP Sharma Oli

$16,195 Vol.

1%

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Prachanda

$8,325 Vol.

<1%

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Rabi Lamichhane

$15,332 Vol.

<1%

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Kulman Ghising

$6,026 Vol.

<1%

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Madhav Kumar Nepal

$10,771 Vol.

<1%

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Harka Sampang

$7,960 Vol.

<1%

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Sushila Karki

$6,040 Vol.

<1%

Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Nepal following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Nepal; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$470,695
Date de fin
Mar 5, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 16, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Nepal following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Nepal; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Prochain Premier ministre du Népal" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Balendra « Balen » Shah" at 85%, followed by "Gagan Kumar Thapa" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Prochain Premier ministre du Népal" has generated $470.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Prochain Premier ministre du Népal," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Prochain Premier ministre du Népal" is "Balendra « Balen » Shah" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gagan Kumar Thapa" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Prochain Premier ministre du Népal" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.