Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty faces minor opposition from Joe Gerard in the May 5 Democratic primary for Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, a Columbus-based seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 Partisan Voting Index following 2025 redistricting. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democratic Party victory reflects the district's consistent large Democratic margins—Beatty won by over 50 points in recent cycles—and a lone Republican primary entrant, Cleophus Dulaney, lacking notable profile or fundraising. Scenarios to challenge this include a Beatty primary upset, Dulaney momentum surge, major scandal or health issue for Beatty, or a massive national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground state turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-03
Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-03
$16,642 Vol.
$16,642 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$16,642 Vol.
$16,642 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty faces minor opposition from Joe Gerard in the May 5 Democratic primary for Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, a Columbus-based seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 Partisan Voting Index following 2025 redistricting. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democratic Party victory reflects the district's consistent large Democratic margins—Beatty won by over 50 points in recent cycles—and a lone Republican primary entrant, Cleophus Dulaney, lacking notable profile or fundraising. Scenarios to challenge this include a Beatty primary upset, Dulaney momentum surge, major scandal or health issue for Beatty, or a massive national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground state turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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