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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Nombre de sièges remportés par le PPP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ?

Market icon
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Nombre de sièges remportés par le PPP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ?

2 40%

3 39%

5 10.9%

4 10.8%

Polymarket

$19,721 Vol.

2 40%

3 39%

5 10.9%

4 10.8%

Polymarket

$19,721 Vol.

0

$1,791 Vol.

9%

1

$2,063 Vol.

7%

2

$9,395 Vol.

40%

3

$1,317 Vol.

39%

4

$1,826 Vol.

11%

5

$882 Vol.

6%

6+

$2,447 Vol.

1%

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PPP capturing 2 or 3 seats at 40% each in South Korea's six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, concurrent with local elections, as recent district polls reveal competitive races in swing areas like Incheon Yeonsu-gu Gap (PPP 36% vs. DPK 48% per STI March survey) amid national PPP support lagging at 18-19% (NBS/Gallup Korea, March 23-26). All vacancies stem from Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) lawmakers' resignations, invalidations, or promotions under President Lee Jae-myung, offering PPP flip opportunities despite post-Yoon impeachment fallout, low turnout risks favoring conservatives. Separation could arise from final polls, candidate primaries fallout, or Constitutional Court impeachment rulings before voting.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PPP capturing 2 or 3 seats at 40% each in South Korea's six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, concurrent with local elections, as recent district polls reveal competitive races in swing areas like Incheon Yeonsu-gu Gap (PPP 36% vs. DPK 48% per STI March survey) amid national PPP support lagging at 18-19% (NBS/Gallup Korea, March 23-26). All vacancies stem from Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) lawmakers' resignations, invalidations, or promotions under President Lee Jae-myung, offering PPP flip opportunities despite post-Yoon impeachment fallout, low turnout risks favoring conservatives. Separation could arise from final polls, candidate primaries fallout, or Constitutional Court impeachment rulings before voting.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PPP capturing 2 or 3 seats at 40% each in South Korea's six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, concurrent with local elections, as recent district polls reveal competitive races in swing areas like Incheon Yeonsu-gu Gap (PPP 36% vs. DPK 48% per STI March survey) amid national PPP support lagging at 18-19% (NBS/Gallup Korea, March 23-26). All vacancies stem from Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) lawmakers' resignations, invalidations, or promotions under President Lee Jae-myung, offering PPP flip opportunities despite post-Yoon impeachment fallout, low turnout risks favoring conservatives. Separation could arise from final polls, candidate primaries fallout, or Constitutional Court impeachment rulings before voting.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices PPP capturing 2 or 3 seats at 40% each in South Korea's six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, concurrent with local elections, as recent district polls reveal competitive races in swing areas like Incheon Yeonsu-gu Gap (PPP 36% vs. DPK 48% per STI March survey) amid national PPP support lagging at 18-19% (NBS/Gallup Korea, March 23-26). All vacancies stem from Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) lawmakers' resignations, invalidations, or promotions under President Lee Jae-myung, offering PPP flip opportunities despite post-Yoon impeachment fallout, low turnout risks favoring conservatives. Separation could arise from final polls, candidate primaries fallout, or Constitutional Court impeachment rulings before voting.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Nombre de sièges remportés par le PPP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 2 » à 40%, suivi de « 3 » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Nombre de sièges remportés par le PPP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? » a généré $19.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Nombre de sièges remportés par le PPP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Nombre de sièges remportés par le PPP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? » est « 2 » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 3 » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Nombre de sièges remportés par le PPP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.