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Politique·Corée Du Sud

Nombre de sièges remportés par DP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ?

Market icon
Politique·Corée Du Sud

Nombre de sièges remportés par DP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ?

10+ 55.5%

8-9 36.5%

6-7 5.0%

2-3 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW

10+ 55.5%

8-9 36.5%

6-7 5.0%

2-3 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW

0-1

$0 Vol.

<1%

2-3

$0 Vol.

3%

4-5

$0 Vol.

1%

6-7

$0 Vol.

5%

8-9

$0 Vol.

37%

10+

$0 Vol.

55%

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party (DP) securing 10+ seats at 55.5% implied probability in upcoming South Korean National Assembly by-elections across 11 contested districts, reflecting recent polling averages where DP leads in nine districts amid President Yoon Suk Yeol's People Power Party (PPP) struggles. DP's edge stems from Yoon's approval ratings dipping below 30% due to economic discontent and a marital scandal involving First Lady Kim Keon-hee, boosting opposition turnout expectations. The 8-9 seats outcome at 36.5% accounts for potential PPP holds in conservative strongholds, while lower tiers reflect barriers like incumbency advantages. By-elections on October 15 follow candidate filings last week, with no major shifts since mid-September polls.

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.

This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.

Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.

If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).

Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
Jun 3, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party (DP) securing 10+ seats at 55.5% implied probability in upcoming South Korean National Assembly by-elections across 11 contested districts, reflecting recent polling averages where DP leads in nine districts amid President Yoon Suk Yeol's People Power Party (PPP) struggles. DP's edge stems from Yoon's approval ratings dipping below 30% due to economic discontent and a marital scandal involving First Lady Kim Keon-hee, boosting opposition turnout expectations. The 8-9 seats outcome at 36.5% accounts for potential PPP holds in conservative strongholds, while lower tiers reflect barriers like incumbency advantages. By-elections on October 15 follow candidate filings last week, with no major shifts since mid-September polls.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party (DP) securing 10+ seats at 55.5% implied probability in upcoming South Korean National Assembly by-elections across 11 contested districts, reflecting recent polling averages where DP leads in nine districts amid President Yoon Suk Yeol's People Power Party (PPP) struggles. DP's edge stems from Yoon's approval ratings dipping below 30% due to economic discontent and a marital scandal involving First Lady Kim Keon-hee, boosting opposition turnout expectations. The 8-9 seats outcome at 36.5% accounts for potential PPP holds in conservative strongholds, while lower tiers reflect barriers like incumbency advantages. By-elections on October 15 follow candidate filings last week, with no major shifts since mid-September polls.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Nombre de sièges remportés par DP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 10+ » à 56%, suivi de « 8-9 » à 37%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 56¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Nombre de sièges remportés par DP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Feb 12, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Nombre de sièges remportés par DP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Nombre de sièges remportés par DP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? » est « 10+ » à 56%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 8-9 » à 37%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Nombre de sièges remportés par DP aux élections partielles en Corée du Sud ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.