Trader consensus favors East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 42.5% implied probability to win the NJ-12 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by his March 16 endorsement from the influential Middlesex County Democratic organization—representing a key population center—and additional backing from state legislators like Sen. Linda Greenstein. Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds strong at 33.5% with Mercer County support, while progressive activist Susan Altman trails at 18.5% buoyed by early fundraising hauls over $250,000. The crowded field of 13 candidates fragments votes absent public polls, with county-line endorsements splitting organizational muscle. Separation could emerge from Q1 FEC reports due mid-April, further county nods, or candidate forums highlighting turnout in swing areas like Somerset and Union.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBrad Cohen 42%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 17%
Adam Hamawy 6%
$16,013 Vol.
$16,013 Vol.
Brad Cohen
42%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
34%
Susan Altman
19%
Adam Hamawy
6%
Adrian Mapp
4%
Matthew Adams
4%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Michael Anderson
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Brad Cohen 42%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 17%
Adam Hamawy 6%
$16,013 Vol.
$16,013 Vol.
Brad Cohen
42%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
34%
Susan Altman
19%
Adam Hamawy
6%
Adrian Mapp
4%
Matthew Adams
4%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Michael Anderson
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 42.5% implied probability to win the NJ-12 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by his March 16 endorsement from the influential Middlesex County Democratic organization—representing a key population center—and additional backing from state legislators like Sen. Linda Greenstein. Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds strong at 33.5% with Mercer County support, while progressive activist Susan Altman trails at 18.5% buoyed by early fundraising hauls over $250,000. The crowded field of 13 candidates fragments votes absent public polls, with county-line endorsements splitting organizational muscle. Separation could emerge from Q1 FEC reports due mid-April, further county nods, or candidate forums highlighting turnout in swing areas like Somerset and Union.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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