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Next Prime Minister of Norway

Market icon

Next Prime Minister of Norway

Jonas Gahr Støre 100.0%

Erna Solberg <1%

Trygve Slagsvold Vedum <1%

Sylvi Listhaug <1%

Polymarket

$6,926,720 Vol.

Jonas Gahr Støre 100.0%

Erna Solberg <1%

Trygve Slagsvold Vedum <1%

Sylvi Listhaug <1%

Polymarket

$6,926,720 Vol.

Market icon

Jonas Gahr Støre

$2,555,381 Vol.

Yes

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Erna Solberg

$814,734 Vol.

No

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Trygve Slagsvold Vedum

$405,241 Vol.

No

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Sylvi Listhaug

$3,151,363 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed Prime Minister by royal decree of the King of Norway in the Council of State following the 2025 parliamentary election.

If no such decree is issued—for example, in cases of government continuity—the sitting Prime Minister at the time the King appoints ministers for the new cabinet will be considered the winner.

If the incumbent Prime Minister and cabinet are confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have secured re-election without the need for a new decree or formal appointment, the market will resolve accordingly.

If no new government is appointed by December 31, 2025, the market will resolve to the most recently appointed permanent Prime Minister.

Only Prime Ministers who take office as a result of an election will qualify. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister—including those serving under Norway’s standing incapacity rule—will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Norway; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,926,720
Date de fin
Sep 8, 2025
Marché ouvert
Jun 4, 2025, 1:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed Prime Minister by royal decree of the King of Norway in the Council of State following the 2025 parliamentary election. If no such decree is issued—for example, in cases of government continuity—the sitting Prime Minister at the time the King appoints ministers for the new cabinet will be considered the winner. If the incumbent Prime Minister and cabinet are confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have secured re-election without the need for a new decree or formal appointment, the market will resolve accordingly. If no new government is appointed by December 31, 2025, the market will resolve to the most recently appointed permanent Prime Minister. Only Prime Ministers who take office as a result of an election will qualify. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister—including those serving under Norway’s standing incapacity rule—will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Norway; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Norway" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jonas Gahr Støre" at 100%, followed by "Erna Solberg" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Norway" has generated $6.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Norway," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Norway" is "Jonas Gahr Støre" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Erna Solberg" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Norway" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.