Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 66.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Bill Huizenga's entrenched advantage in this R+5 Cook PVI district with historical Republican dominance. Recent polls, including an October internal survey showing Huizenga up by 18 points over Democrat Jessica Brandler, and fundraising reports revealing his $1.2 million war chest versus her under $300,000, have bolstered the lead absent major shifts in the past two weeks. Low Democratic turnout expectations in southwestern Michigan battlegrounds, amid national GOP momentum in similar races, cap Dem odds at 20%. Incumbent re-election base rates exceed 95%, with early voting underway ahead of November 5.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMI-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MI-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
73%
Parti démocrate
22%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
$96 Vol.
73%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 66.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Bill Huizenga's entrenched advantage in this R+5 Cook PVI district with historical Republican dominance. Recent polls, including an October internal survey showing Huizenga up by 18 points over Democrat Jessica Brandler, and fundraising reports revealing his $1.2 million war chest versus her under $300,000, have bolstered the lead absent major shifts in the past two weeks. Low Democratic turnout expectations in southwestern Michigan battlegrounds, amid national GOP momentum in similar races, cap Dem odds at 20%. Incumbent re-election base rates exceed 95%, with early voting underway ahead of November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$96Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 66.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Bill Huizenga's entrenched advantage in this R+5 Cook PVI district with historical Republican dominance. Recent polls, including an October internal survey showing Huizenga up by 18 points over Democrat Jessica Brandler, and fundraising reports revealing his $1.2 million war chest versus her under $300,000, have bolstered the lead absent major shifts in the past two weeks. Low Democratic turnout expectations in southwestern Michigan battlegrounds, amid national GOP momentum in similar races, cap Dem odds at 20%. Incumbent re-election base rates exceed 95%, with early voting underway ahead of November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$96Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 66.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Bill Huizenga's entrenched advantage in this R+5 Cook PVI district with historical Republican dominance. Recent polls, including an October internal survey showing Huizenga up by 18 points over Democrat Jessica Brandler, and fundraising reports revealing his $1.2 million war chest versus her under $300,000, have bolstered the lead absent major shifts in the past two weeks. Low Democratic turnout expectations in southwestern Michigan battlegrounds, amid national GOP momentum in similar races, cap Dem odds at 20%. Incumbent re-election base rates exceed 95%, with early voting underway ahead of November 5.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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