Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's January filing for re-election and February statewide tour promoting tax cuts have solidified trader consensus at 85% for a Republican victory in Kansas's solidly Republican U.S. Senate race, per Cook Political Report ratings. Kansas's deep-red status, where Democrats last won a Senate seat over 50 years ago, combined with a crowded Democratic primary featuring candidates like Army veteran Noah Taylor, attorney Anne Parelkar, and state Sen. Patrick Schmidt—who held a forum March 8 criticizing Marshall—limits upset potential absent a high-profile recruit like term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly. A potential independent bid by pastor Adam Hamilton adds uncertainty, but no polls exist yet ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$13,459 Vol.
$13,459 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
85%
Démocrate
15%
$13,459 Vol.
$13,459 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
$7,300 Vol.
85%
Démocrate
$6,158 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's January filing for re-election and February statewide tour promoting tax cuts have solidified trader consensus at 85% for a Republican victory in Kansas's solidly Republican U.S. Senate race, per Cook Political Report ratings. Kansas's deep-red status, where Democrats last won a Senate seat over 50 years ago, combined with a crowded Democratic primary featuring candidates like Army veteran Noah Taylor, attorney Anne Parelkar, and state Sen. Patrick Schmidt—who held a forum March 8 criticizing Marshall—limits upset potential absent a high-profile recruit like term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly. A potential independent bid by pastor Adam Hamilton adds uncertainty, but no polls exist yet ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$13,459Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's January filing for re-election and February statewide tour promoting tax cuts have solidified trader consensus at 85% for a Republican victory in Kansas's solidly Republican U.S. Senate race, per Cook Political Report ratings. Kansas's deep-red status, where Democrats last won a Senate seat over 50 years ago, combined with a crowded Democratic primary featuring candidates like Army veteran Noah Taylor, attorney Anne Parelkar, and state Sen. Patrick Schmidt—who held a forum March 8 criticizing Marshall—limits upset potential absent a high-profile recruit like term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly. A potential independent bid by pastor Adam Hamilton adds uncertainty, but no polls exist yet ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$13,459Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's January filing for re-election and February statewide tour promoting tax cuts have solidified trader consensus at 85% for a Republican victory in Kansas's solidly Republican U.S. Senate race, per Cook Political Report ratings. Kansas's deep-red status, where Democrats last won a Senate seat over 50 years ago, combined with a crowded Democratic primary featuring candidates like Army veteran Noah Taylor, attorney Anne Parelkar, and state Sen. Patrick Schmidt—who held a forum March 8 criticizing Marshall—limits upset potential absent a high-profile recruit like term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly. A potential independent bid by pastor Adam Hamilton adds uncertainty, but no polls exist yet ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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