Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% to win Iowa's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting optimism around State Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott as the consolidated Democratic nominee against incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn following a state panel's March 24 decision to remove challenger Xavier Carrigan from the June 2 primary ballot over petition issues. This unification bolsters Trone Garriott, backed by DCCC's Red to Blue program and earlier polls showing her leading Nunn, in a Toss-up rated district (Cook, Sabato) with R+2 partisan lean where Nunn narrowly prevailed by four points in 2024. Midterm dynamics favoring the presidential out-party further drive the lopsided pricing ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti démocrate
68%
Parti républicain
33%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
68%
Parti républicain
$39 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% to win Iowa's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting optimism around State Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott as the consolidated Democratic nominee against incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn following a state panel's March 24 decision to remove challenger Xavier Carrigan from the June 2 primary ballot over petition issues. This unification bolsters Trone Garriott, backed by DCCC's Red to Blue program and earlier polls showing her leading Nunn, in a Toss-up rated district (Cook, Sabato) with R+2 partisan lean where Nunn narrowly prevailed by four points in 2024. Midterm dynamics favoring the presidential out-party further drive the lopsided pricing ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$39Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% to win Iowa's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting optimism around State Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott as the consolidated Democratic nominee against incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn following a state panel's March 24 decision to remove challenger Xavier Carrigan from the June 2 primary ballot over petition issues. This unification bolsters Trone Garriott, backed by DCCC's Red to Blue program and earlier polls showing her leading Nunn, in a Toss-up rated district (Cook, Sabato) with R+2 partisan lean where Nunn narrowly prevailed by four points in 2024. Midterm dynamics favoring the presidential out-party further drive the lopsided pricing ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 75.5% to win Iowa's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting optimism around State Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott as the consolidated Democratic nominee against incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn following a state panel's March 24 decision to remove challenger Xavier Carrigan from the June 2 primary ballot over petition issues. This unification bolsters Trone Garriott, backed by DCCC's Red to Blue program and earlier polls showing her leading Nunn, in a Toss-up rated district (Cook, Sabato) with R+2 partisan lean where Nunn narrowly prevailed by four points in 2024. Midterm dynamics favoring the presidential out-party further drive the lopsided pricing ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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